NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	81		Excitement	8.3 [204]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +36.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	4.4 [245]		LVP	Corey Maggette (MIL): -30.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	14	56%	0.15	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	10	15%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	0.01	-0.21	0.01	14	50%	-0.07	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.31	-0.08	-0.23	-0.00	8	38%	-0.07	2	-0.24	10	60%	-0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.37	0.37	0.03	0.34	-0.00	22	56%	0.46	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	10	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.14	0.00	11	52%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.0	17.6	24.5	1.6	32.1	129.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.3%

MIL -6.9%

MIL -14.7%

CLE +17.9%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	15.1	15.5	89.0	91.2	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		100.1	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.4		110.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.8	15.7	15.2	19.2	16.6
CLE	15.2	13.1	14.1	18.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	47	48	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.03	10	-12	22	15.4	17.7	-2.30	13.9	16.4	-2.48
Ersan Ilyasova	31	31	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.06	5	-7	12	15.8	17.0	-1.19	15.1	15.1	-0.04
Keyon Dooling	47	48	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-7	12	16.6	16.5	0.12	14.7	15.5	-0.85
Jon Brockman	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	6	-14	16.9	16.4	0.50	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Corey Maggette	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-10	18	16.5	16.6	-0.06	15.4	14.5	0.83
Brandon Jennings	54	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	1	-4	16.3	16.9	-0.65	15.3	14.8	0.42
John Salmons	81	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	4	-10	16.7	15.4	1.30	15.2	14.1	1.11
Drew Gooden	62	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.49	-6	4	-10	16.8	16.1	0.72	15.5	14.2	1.31
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	45	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.49	-15	13	-28	17.7	15.3	2.41	15.8	14.4	1.45

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	56	55	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.53	15	-13	28	15.2	14.9	0.24	17.4	15.3	2.03
Mo Williams	61	61	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-9	20	15.1	15.0	0.13	17.1	15.4	1.78
Anderson Varejao	59	58	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.45	8	-6	14	15.1	15.1	-0.01	17.3	15.2	2.12
Joey Graham	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-8	18	14.5	15.9	-1.39	17.2	15.8	1.46
Antawn Jamison	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	7	-12	15.8	14.1	1.68	16.6	16.6	-0.01
JJ Hickson	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	-5	12	14.1	15.8	-1.68	16.6	16.6	0.01
Daniel Gibson	42	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	11	-20	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.9	17.2	-1.33
Jawad Williams	13	13	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	5	-8	14.7	15.2	-0.46	13.9	17.0	-3.08
Ryan Hollins	32	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	8	-14	15.1	15.1	0.01	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Jamario Moon	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	11	-20	14.4	15.3	-0.86	16.0	16.7	-0.79
Ramon Sessions	30	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	15.0	15.1	-0.13	15.4	17.1	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	91.5%
BOS 100, NJN 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.58,1	91.4%
GSW 95, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.95,0.72,1	91.2%