inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 80 Excitement7.4 [371] MVPTracy McGrady (HOU): +63.3%
Houston Rockets 81 Comeback4999.0 [1] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -23.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.03-0.01658%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Beno Udrih0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Devin Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,00.04-0.030.011167%0.122-0.128100%0.06
Brent Barry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.060.011154%-0.012-0.062100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01525%-0.071-0.02250%-0.02
Malik Rose-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.0250%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2-0.13-0.07-0.002245%-0.123-0.081486%0.07
Tony Parker-0.230,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23-0.09-0.16-0.02928%-0.212-0.0200%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.630.630.030.60-0.012953%0.703-0.064100%0.02
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00167%0.0100.004100%0.03
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Reece Gaines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.030.02250%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.030.041567%0.105-0.161090%0.04
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.03729%-0.002-0.0800%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.001024%-0.1000.001100%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.001020%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Andre Barrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.11-0.02617%-0.073-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.93.328.419.728.43.644.2153.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +67.8%
SAS -11.1%
SAS -7.1%
SAS -4.4%
HOU +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game16.715.515.588.991.0104.0
season16.316.0105.8104.2
opponent15.815.6100.698.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.218.919.114.816.7
HOU17.715.215.214.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen61600.80-1.302.100.4512-132516.916.20.6816.114.21.98
Tony Massenburg870.04-0.540.58-0.022-3518.116.51.6012.715.7-3.03
Robert Horry990.00-0.500.500.000-1117.716.61.1115.415.5-0.07
Manu Ginobili5048-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-10-117.915.12.8217.313.43.88
Rasho Nesterovic4039-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-32-518.515.23.3017.613.83.80
Tony Parker7370-0.18-0.320.14-0.4710-112116.517.5-0.9915.515.5-0.03
Tim Duncan7270-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.518-91716.318.3-2.0115.814.51.31
Beno Udrih1719-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-1110-2117.516.50.9915.515.50.03
Malik Rose4951-0.570.07-0.65-0.52-21-315.817.7-1.9614.317.2-2.93
Devin Brown5355-0.670.17-0.84-0.46-76-1315.518.3-2.7713.418.9-5.51
Brent Barry1817-1.150.65-1.80-0.77-1312-2514.617.2-2.5713.915.9-2.01

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reece Gaines20201.13-0.631.750.7214-132713.116.2-3.0413.717.5-3.75
Tracy McGrady82810.60-0.100.700.513-2515.515.6-0.0716.320.3-4.07
Ryan Bowen37400.53-0.030.560.82-1011-2117.813.93.8517.416.11.32
Scott Padgett19200.53-0.030.560.5301-111.716.5-4.7916.316.8-0.41
Yao Ming65660.300.200.100.39-34-715.715.00.6916.317.6-1.25
Dikembe Mutombo24230.230.27-0.050.056-51115.015.7-0.6918.016.21.79
Juwan Howard38370.080.42-0.34-0.013-2517.214.32.8815.617.4-1.87
Andre Barrett5557-0.220.72-0.94-0.344-3714.417.2-2.8017.016.10.86
Maurice Taylor3839-0.290.79-1.09-0.09-78-1515.215.7-0.4718.815.03.85
Bob Sura6767-0.380.88-1.26-0.23-56-1116.113.62.5416.616.8-0.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 118, PHX 1230.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.14,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.42,189.2%
LAL 75, OKC 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.13,189.1%
MEM 89, MIN 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,189.1%