NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	7.1 [437]		MVP	Darius Miles (POR): +19.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	11.2 [196]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -13.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.00	20	67%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	18	46%	0.02	1	-0.08	10	100%	0.10
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	59%	0.01	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	14	71%	0.27	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	15	62%	0.18	0	0.00	10	100%	0.15
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.00	12	56%	0.12	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.08
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	12	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.6	28.1	15.7	26.3	1.7	40.1	136.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +13.1%

POR +20.4%

POR +17.2%

SEA -1.5%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.5	106.8	114.9	104.0
season	16.5	15.8		109.5	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.7	17.4	15.8	17.9	16.6
POR	14.3	16.0	17.8	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	54	54	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.13	13	-19	32	16.6	16.7	-0.05	16.7	15.5	1.26
Jerome James	40	41	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.37	19	-25	44	16.6	16.6	0.00	19.0	13.9	5.08
Luke Ridnour	58	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-13	20	16.3	17.3	-1.04	17.3	14.2	3.09
Danny Fortson	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	6	-18	17.2	16.3	0.85	15.0	17.0	-2.05
Rashard Lewis	78	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-5	4	16.1	20.6	-4.46	15.9	18.9	-3.03
Ray Allen	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-4	2	17.1	14.0	3.07	16.9	11.7	5.16
Nick Collison	28	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	10	-26	16.2	16.8	-0.64	13.7	17.5	-3.76
Vladimir Radmanovic	34	31	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.09	-19	13	-32	16.4	16.8	-0.38	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Antonio Daniels	39	38	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.17	-19	13	-32	17.5	16.0	1.46	14.7	17.5	-2.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	46	48	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.20	24	-18	42	15.7	16.9	-1.25	15.7	17.8	-2.11
Darius Miles	61	60	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.30	17	-11	28	15.2	18.7	-3.41	16.3	17.4	-1.04
Ruben Patterson	51	51	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-7	20	16.0	16.6	-0.54	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	16.1	16.9	-0.73	17.1	14.4	2.72
Zach Randolph	56	56	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.41	3	3	0	17.5	14.1	3.42	16.5	16.9	-0.36
Joel Przybilla	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	8	-10	15.7	16.3	-0.60	18.5	16.3	2.22
Theo Ratliff	57	57	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.06	-5	11	-16	16.4	16.0	0.35	16.2	17.5	-1.24
Derek Anderson	39	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	15	-24	16.6	16.0	0.64	17.7	15.7	1.97
Damon Stoudamire	41	41	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.07	-18	24	-42	16.9	15.7	1.25	17.4	16.0	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	92.3%
IND 94, BKN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	92.0%
BOS 92, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.83,0.89,1,1,1,1	91.5%