NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	6.5 [485]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +11.0%
Washington Bullets	106		Comeback	8.4 [183]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -19.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.03	9	44%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	14	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nate Driggers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Todd Day	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Frank Brickowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dino Radja	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	26	47%	0.03	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.04	-0.15	0.01	17	45%	-0.20	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	6	79%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.02	7	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	15	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	17	53%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	17	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	28.1	15.8	28.0	1.5	28.6	125.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.6%

WAS +12.7%

BOS -9.1%

WAS +14.8%

BOS -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.6	98.9	114.0	104.4
season	14.8	14.8		101.8	104.3
opponent	15.8	14.7		103.3	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	15.9	14.0	18.6	15.7
WAS	15.3	12.9	16.7	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dino Radja	74	72	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	-13	12	15.5	16.3	-0.72	15.3	15.2	0.12
Rick Fox	61	61	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.08	-1	-13	12	14.8	17.5	-2.71	15.9	14.0	1.90
Eric Williams	63	62	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-17	20	15.2	16.7	-1.44	15.9	14.0	1.92
Nate Driggers	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	9.0	15.8	-6.76	18.5	15.2	3.29
Brett Szabo	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	9.0	15.8	-6.76	18.5	15.2	3.29
Todd Day	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	15.9	15.6	0.32	12.9	16.2	-3.28
Antoine Walker	60	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	15.6	15.9	-0.34	15.7	14.4	1.25
Frank Brickowski	20	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-5	-4	18.0	15.1	2.95	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Pervis Ellison	15	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-10	6	16.1	15.6	0.53	13.2	15.6	-2.43
David Wesley	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-7	0	15.3	17.7	-2.41	15.6	13.7	1.85
Marty Conlon	24	23	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.13	-17	3	-20	17.1	15.2	1.94	15.5	15.2	0.26
Dana Barros	44	45	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.25	-23	9	-32	17.0	14.5	2.45	14.0	16.5	-2.57

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	46	47	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.00	31	-17	48	16.0	14.6	1.34	17.7	13.6	4.07
Jaren Jackson	47	47	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.22	21	-7	28	13.7	16.8	-3.10	16.2	15.2	1.06
Tracy Murray	27	26	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.19	17	-3	20	14.6	15.6	-0.97	19.3	14.3	5.02
Chris Whitney	28	27	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-4	22	16.2	14.9	1.29	19.3	14.2	5.03
Chris Webber	79	78	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	10	-6	15.4	14.9	0.50	14.8	20.1	-5.22
Rod Strickland	73	74	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	9	-4	15.4	14.9	0.48	14.6	19.9	-5.29
Juwan Howard	77	79	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	10	-6	15.7	13.4	2.22	14.9	20.3	-5.41
Harvey Grant	45	44	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.04	-16	30	-46	15.1	15.5	-0.41	14.5	16.8	-2.34
Calbert Cheaney	43	43	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.03	-14	28	-42	15.3	15.3	0.04	14.6	16.6	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.83,0.89,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	92.4%
MIL 100, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.96,0.92,0.96,1	92.0%
IND 94, BKN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	91.6%