NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	7.3 [393]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): +20.8%
Brooklyn Nets	103		Comeback	5.9 [109]		LVP	Jeff Teague (IND): -31.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.02	12	68%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.06	10	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Paul George	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	22	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Joe Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	42%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.20	-0.13	-0.01	13	15%	-0.24	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.00	11	82%	0.26	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.01	18	60%	0.18	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	8	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.04	12	66%	0.06	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.0	14.8	28.8	1.8	33.2	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +51.4%

BKN +10.1%

BKN +7.1%

IND -15.7%

IND -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.8	93.1	102.0	107.7
season	14.9	13.7		107.5	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.8		109.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	14.6	12.8	14.3	14.1
BKN	14.2	14.2	14.8	14.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	8	7	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-11	13	16.7	13.8	2.90	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Kevin Seraphin	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-12	15	13.0	14.1	-1.15	18.0	14.2	3.79
Georges Niang	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	10.0	14.2	-4.20	23.7	14.2	9.51
Joe Young	27	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-7	5	13.9	14.2	-0.31	13.9	14.7	-0.76
Lavoy Allen	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.0	0.82	12.2	14.8	-2.63
Glenn Robinson	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	15.0	13.7	1.31	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Al Jefferson	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.5	13.6	1.91	13.1	14.9	-1.83
Paul George	77	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	13.7	15.4	-1.70	14.7	13.7	0.95
CJ Miles	44	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	1	-11	14.8	13.5	1.23	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Myles Turner	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-5	1	13.7	15.0	-1.38	14.6	14.0	0.64
Monta Ellis	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	13.7	14.9	-1.21	15.0	13.2	1.78
Jeff Teague	61	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-6	3	13.8	14.5	-0.74	14.8	13.9	0.91
Thaddeus Young	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	14.2	13.9	0.31	14.8	13.6	1.20

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Kilpatrick	54	53	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.21	25	-16	41	13.6	15.4	-1.89	14.9	13.2	1.74
Justin Hamilton	60	58	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-5	19	15.3	13.2	2.05	13.2	15.2	-2.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	57	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	4	1	14.6	14.2	0.42	14.7	13.3	1.39
Luis Scola	32	29	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-4	17	15.0	14.2	0.78	14.1	14.1	0.08
Greivis Vasquez	31	31	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	0	9	14.5	14.4	0.12	12.7	14.7	-2.02
Brook Lopez	54	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	8	-7	13.9	15.0	-1.10	14.8	13.2	1.59
Jeremy Lin	70	70	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.7	12.7	2.02
Joe Harris	38	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.17	-1	10	-11	14.7	14.3	0.36	13.1	14.7	-1.67
Trevor Booker	56	59	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.05	-10	19	-29	13.7	15.3	-1.58	14.2	13.9	0.34
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	51	53	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.03	-11	20	-31	15.0	13.9	1.14	13.4	14.9	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.1%
DAL 92, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	92.1%
SEA 94, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.42,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.95,1	92.0%