NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	2.9 [1221]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +8.8%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.4 [1006]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -7.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	12	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	17	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	14	62%	-0.01	5	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	85%	0.11	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.04	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.04	8	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	46%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	14	59%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	24.5	15.0	27.0	2.8	28.3	124.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.9%

UTA +0.6%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +10.0%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.5	109.4	124.1	104.0
season	16.7	16.7		103.5	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.7	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.9	18.7	15.1	15.9	16.8
UTA	14.2	19.2	14.3	20.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	18.0	16.8	1.22	19.0	16.6	2.40
Darvin Ham	24	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.29	8	-23	31	14.4	17.8	-3.40	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Richard Hamilton	52	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-13	11	17.2	16.2	1.08	16.4	17.2	-0.76
Elden Campbell	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-8	1	16.9	16.8	0.09	16.5	16.8	-0.35
Antonio McDyess	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-12	9	16.7	17.4	-0.63	17.1	14.5	2.61
Tayshaun Prince	70	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-7	-1	17.3	14.7	2.60	17.3	13.2	4.13
Rasheed Wallace	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	3	-21	16.8	16.8	-0.03	16.1	18.2	-2.06
Lindsey Hunter	63	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	4	-23	16.8	16.7	0.11	16.2	18.0	-1.81
Carlos Delfino	48	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.21	-25	10	-35	16.9	16.7	0.24	17.0	16.3	0.61

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	18.8	14.4	4.44	17.0	16.6	0.31
Matt Harpring	40	42	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	3	9	16.9	16.5	0.41	17.4	16.2	1.22
Mehmet Okur	55	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	2	11	16.7	16.7	0.03	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Howard Eisley	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	6	3	19.6	14.3	5.37	17.3	16.4	0.87
Andrei Kirilenko	56	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	2	11	17.1	15.9	1.20	16.9	16.6	0.29
Carlos Boozer	71	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	9	-3	16.4	17.7	-1.31	16.1	19.8	-3.70
Curtis Borchardt	16	16	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	6	3	17.7	16.4	1.31	19.8	16.1	3.70
Keith McLeod	48	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	9	-3	14.3	19.6	-5.37	16.4	17.3	-0.87
Gordan Giricek	42	40	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	12	-9	14.4	18.8	-4.44	16.6	17.0	-0.31
Jarron Collins	23	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	23	-31	15.2	17.2	-1.99	16.1	17.0	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 71, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ORL 80, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
HOU 83, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%