inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 92 Excitement10.0 [70] MVPSteve Francis (ORL): +58.5%
Orlando Magic 93 Comeback3.2 [523] LVPKeith Van Horn (MIL): -29.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.350,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.35-0.010.36-0.002145%0.371-0.0200%0.00
Toni Kukoc0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.01-0.020.03-0.00642%0.111-0.1000%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.041038%0.001-0.0210%-0.01
Dan Gadzuric-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00852%-0.001-0.03560%-0.01
Zaza Pachulia-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.060.011044%-0.1000.00560%-0.02
Joe Smith-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00835%-0.081-0.02475%0.00
Erick Strickland-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00747%-0.004-0.101100%0.01
Mo Williams-0.200,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2-0.06-0.130.011145%-0.123-0.0800%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.300,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.16-0.130.011639%-0.165-0.14450%-0.04

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Francis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.590.59-0.010.59-0.002351%0.632-0.05580%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.070.00650%0.0800.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00658%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.02360%-0.021-0.00450%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.05-0.05-0.060.050.032148%0.064-0.1000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.011143%-0.081-0.0160%-0.16
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.040.00729%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.100.001244%-0.092-0.063100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game481.22.332.016.727.62.633.8596.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +55.8%
MIL -11.4%
MIL -22.0%
ORL +24.4%
ORL +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILORLNBAMILORLNBA
this game14.613.315.589.390.3104.0
season16.014.3104.4102.9
opponent15.515.0105.1107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.313.017.314.314.6
ORL13.412.212.715.113.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia55560.54-1.041.570.2410-112113.815.6-1.8013.613.00.55
Toni Kukoc46460.48-0.981.460.335-61113.515.6-2.1013.513.20.25
Dan Gadzuric4847-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-98-1715.613.81.8013.013.6-0.55
Joe Smith4545-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-87-1516.113.52.6512.214.2-1.99
Mo Williams8080-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.502-3515.212.82.3913.612.31.25
Desmond Mason4746-0.550.05-0.59-0.788-91712.716.2-3.4914.112.71.39
Keith Van Horn6869-0.630.13-0.76-0.42-76-1315.712.53.2613.413.10.39
Michael Redd9192-0.640.14-0.78-0.38-98-1715.012.02.9913.313.20.16
Erick Strickland3534-0.680.18-0.85-0.763-4712.515.7-3.2212.613.7-1.05

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cuttino Mobley72700.86-0.361.230.89-12-313.612.70.9215.413.12.33
Steve Francis85830.83-0.331.150.656-51113.313.20.1214.913.41.48
Pat Garrity22230.74-0.240.990.634-3712.513.5-0.9912.315.3-2.95
Grant Hill69690.72-0.220.940.527-61313.413.10.2615.313.22.10
Hedo Turkoglu42440.56-0.060.620.5310113.213.4-0.2613.715.3-1.59
Kelvin Cato5553-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-23-513.013.7-0.7315.413.81.63
Tony Battie4850-0.200.70-0.90-0.2310113.713.00.7313.815.4-1.63
Dwight Howard8180-0.240.74-0.99-0.16-34-713.512.50.9915.312.32.95
Jameer Nelson1820-0.330.83-1.15-0.18-56-1113.213.3-0.1213.414.9-1.48
Stacey Augmon2323-0.380.88-1.27-0.30-34-712.513.6-1.0812.015.4-3.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.51,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 93, SAC 970.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.58,192.6%
UTA 88, PHI 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,190.1%
DEN 103, UTA 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.16,0.42,190.0%