NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	11.2 [21]		MVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): +21.5%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	3.8 [166]		LVP	Bob Sura (ATL): -46.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.02	0.18	-0.01	13	60%	0.31	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.12
Eric Snow	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.09	0.01	0.10	0.02	14	60%	0.22	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.05	0.01	17	50%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Greg Buckner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.03,-0.18,-0.18	0.00	-0.19	-0.00	13	68%	0.21	5	-0.39	12	83%	0.10

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	11	79%	0.22	0	0.00	11	100%	0.06
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.14,0.29,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	19	62%	0.24	2	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.01	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.06
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	17	32%	-0.06	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.31,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.4,-0.46	-0.46	-0.19	-0.27	0.00	11	31%	-0.22	5	-0.25	4	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	497.8	2.7	24.2	15.5	23.8	1.8	39.2	1.6	18.1	624.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +67.5%

ATL -22.9%

ATL -12.0%

PHI +1.3%

PHI +16.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.9	14.4	15.7	100.0	100.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.0	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	17.9	17.2	18.4	16.7	12.3	16.9
ATL	13.4	12.8	17.6	14.6	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	72	70	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.35	18	-15	33	15.3	20.5	-5.26	15.1	12.9	2.17
Aaron McKie	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.50	0	3	-3	16.6	17.5	-0.92	14.7	13.7	0.93
Kenny Thomas	92	88	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.53	-7	10	-17	17.2	14.2	3.01	14.5	14.1	0.38
Samuel Dalembert	98	96	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	-1	5	16.8	18.0	-1.18	14.7	8.2	6.43
Eric Snow	93	89	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.50	-7	10	-17	17.0	15.6	1.41	14.3	15.4	-1.06
John Salmons	52	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	4	-5	18.4	15.3	3.17	12.9	15.9	-3.02
Greg Buckner	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-1	5	15.8	17.1	-1.27	15.3	14.2	1.11
Kyle Korver	17	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	-1	5	18.9	16.5	2.48	13.1	14.7	-1.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Hansen	51	54	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.26	-8	5	-13	14.3	14.6	-0.34	15.9	17.9	-1.95
Mamadou N'diaye	12	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	6	-15	14.7	14.4	0.28	16.5	16.9	-0.47
Wesley Person	13	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	7	-17	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.8	17.0	-1.18
Boris Diaw	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	1	-5	14.1	14.7	-0.59	16.8	17.0	-0.22
Chris Crawford	83	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-11	19	14.3	15.2	-0.91	17.2	15.2	1.92
Stephen Jackson	87	92	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.48	7	-10	17	14.4	14.6	-0.22	17.0	15.8	1.18
Jason Collier	54	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.7	14.1	0.66	16.6	17.2	-0.62
Bob Sura	79	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.62	6	-9	15	14.5	14.3	0.17	16.8	17.0	-0.16
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	2	-7	14.6	14.0	0.66	17.6	15.3	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.55,0.63,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.32,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.61,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.05,0	90.5%
UTA 93, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.55,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.05,0	90.1%
DET 88, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,0	88.7%