NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	136		Excitement	13.9 [6]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +57.1%
Atlanta Hawks	133		Comeback	107.7 [8]		LVP	Bob Sura (ATL): -35.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.57	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57	0.18	0.39	-0.01	17	78%	0.69	2	-0.12	15	93%	0.13
Jason Williams	0.33	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.33	0.00	0.35	0.01	14	63%	0.56	4	-0.22	7	71%	-0.06
Jake Tsakalidis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.16	0.03	9	68%	0.19	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.10
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	80%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	9	40%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	4	43%	-0.15	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.03	0.25	-0.03	20	61%	0.48	4	-0.17	6	100%	0.07
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	9	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.12,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	21	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.10
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.14	-0.03	8	25%	-0.12	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.36	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	21	42%	-0.26	2	-0.10	13	92%	0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	31.2	15.7	29.2	2.4	40.4	1.5	17.8	0.3	24.6	191.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +125.5%

ATL -23.9%

ATL -20.6%

ATL -24.8%

ATL -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	15.7	114.3	108.1	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		102.3	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	14.4	15.9	18.5	13.1	12.6	15.1
ATL	13.8	14.8	12.3	16.3	11.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	58	58	1.58	-1.08	2.66	0.82	26	-23	49	14.0	15.5	-1.53	13.6	14.4	-0.89
Jason Williams	84	88	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-13	29	13.9	16.8	-2.87	13.3	15.9	-2.64
James Posey	99	104	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-7	17	14.7	14.8	-0.06	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Pau Gasol	27	27	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.24	23	-20	43	13.9	15.0	-1.16	14.6	13.9	0.78
Shane Battier	76	80	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.74	-14	17	-31	14.1	16.0	-1.89	13.2	15.5	-2.22
Jake Tsakalidis	61	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.43	24	-21	45	14.5	15.0	-0.56	14.0	14.1	-0.15
Theron Smith	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	-1	5	14.4	14.8	-0.43	17.9	13.4	4.50
Bo Outlaw	66	68	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.30	-11	14	-25	14.8	14.7	0.12	15.5	12.1	3.40
Earl Watson	35	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	16	-29	16.8	13.9	2.87	15.9	13.3	2.64
Bonzi Wells	37	36	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	0.07	-20	23	-43	16.2	14.1	2.09	12.9	14.5	-1.53
Stromile Swift	36	34	-0.71	1.21	-1.92	0.17	-30	33	-63	17.2	13.7	3.51	13.2	14.3	-1.17

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	80	77	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.29	-2	-1	-1	13.9	14.2	-0.32	14.6	15.1	-0.50
Michael Bradley	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	16.2	13.9	2.27	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Jacque Vaughn	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	11.0	14.2	-3.23	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Mamadou N'diaye	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.15	1	-4	5	15.2	13.6	1.59	16.5	14.1	2.40
Travis Hansen	43	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-10	17	13.9	14.1	-0.18	14.5	14.9	-0.32
Stephen Jackson	110	107	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-11	19	13.9	15.4	-1.52	14.4	17.5	-3.06
Chris Crawford	64	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	12	-27	14.1	14.0	0.11	15.5	14.0	1.50
Boris Diaw	65	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	0	-3	13.9	14.1	-0.21	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Jason Terry	96	93	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	8	-19	14.1	13.7	0.36	14.7	15.0	-0.27
Bob Sura	110	108	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.62	-1	-2	1	14.0	13.9	0.11	14.7	15.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.75,0.85,0.54,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.92,1	86.2%
MIN 99, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.62,0.94,0.99,1,1	85.6%
HOU 93, NOH 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.41,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.85,1	85.5%