NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	7.7 [278]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +19.4%
New Jersey Nets	80		Comeback	2.4 [253]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -19.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	7	94%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1	-0.04	0.14	-0.00	19	50%	0.19	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jiri Welsch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	9	46%	-0.04	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	52%	-0.03	3	-0.09	9	44%	-0.07
Chucky Atkins	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	17	47%	-0.03	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	13	53%	0.02	7	-0.19	4	75%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	14	33%	-0.07	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.15	0.02	17	56%	-0.08	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	30.5	14.6	23.7	2.7	44.0	143.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +59.6%

BOS +5.9%

NJN -39.2%

BOS +20.4%

BOS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.7	90.3	86.0	100.5
season	14.4	15.3		99.5	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.9		95.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.1	14.2	17.2	13.6	15.4
NJN	18.9	14.6	14.8	14.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	70	70	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	15.2	16.0	-0.83	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Paul Pierce	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	0	4	15.8	14.6	1.15	15.6	15.5	0.16
Chucky Atkins	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	1	2	15.7	14.7	0.95	15.8	15.0	0.82
Ricky Davis	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	14.3	17.0	-2.75	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Mark Blount	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	7	-10	15.5	14.9	0.61	15.7	15.0	0.69
Chris Mihm	21	20	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-3	10	14.9	15.5	-0.61	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Marcus Banks	28	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	3	-2	14.7	15.7	-0.95	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Jiri Welsch	69	69	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	15.9	13.8	2.14	16.0	14.4	1.58
Jumaine Jones	23	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	9	-14	16.0	15.2	0.83	16.2	15.4	0.78

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	49	50	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.29	12	-16	28	16.3	14.7	1.60	16.3	14.3	1.95
Anthony Goldwire	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-3	2	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Tamar Slay	4	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	0	-4	15.7	15.6	0.17	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Lucious Harris	77	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-8	12	15.3	16.9	-1.55	15.4	15.4	0.02
Richard Jefferson	69	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-8	12	15.8	15.1	0.68	15.6	14.5	1.15
Kerry Kittles	82	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-4	4	15.0	19.8	-4.79	15.1	17.5	-2.46
Rodney Rogers	84	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	15.5	16.0	-0.45	15.6	12.9	2.75
Aaron Williams	32	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	4	-12	14.9	16.0	-1.09	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Brandon Armstrong	25	22	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	9	-22	16.7	15.2	1.54	13.8	15.9	-2.04
Brian Scalabrine	38	37	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	13	-30	16.0	15.3	0.65	14.8	15.7	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.2,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 111, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.27,0	92.8%
DEN 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.03,0.02,0	92.4%
MEM 105, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.04,0.06,0,0,0	92.2%