NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	7.8 [263]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +21.1%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	2.4 [698]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -22.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	11	68%	0.17	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	19	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	13	46%	-0.05	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	10	76%	0.28	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	8	67%	0.18	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.09
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	11	44%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	20	43%	-0.01	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	14	46%	-0.06	5	-0.11	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.1	31.5	18.3	30.4	0.2	42.6	150.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.8%

IND +7.7%

IND +27.8%

DAL -5.1%

IND +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	13.6	16.0	15.7	101.0	106.2	100.5
season	14.6	16.7		109.2	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		94.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.5	15.0	15.6	12.4	13.6
IND	15.6	17.1	14.4	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	17	16	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-10	16	13.9	13.5	0.46	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Eduardo Najera	11	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-3	2	14.5	13.4	1.11	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Antawn Jamison	67	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.36	8	-12	20	13.8	13.0	0.87	16.3	15.3	0.96
Josh Howard	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-9	14	14.5	11.9	2.57	16.4	15.1	1.38
Shawn Bradley	45	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-6	8	14.9	12.4	2.54	17.6	14.7	2.86
Antoine Walker	61	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-1	-2	13.1	14.4	-1.31	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Scott Williams	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	6	-16	11.9	14.3	-2.44	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Marquis Daniels	38	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	10	-24	12.5	14.2	-1.73	15.1	16.5	-1.46
Steve Nash	78	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	13.1	15.4	-2.31	16.1	15.4	0.77
Dirk Nowitzki	79	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	13.6	13.4	0.24	15.7	17.4	-1.66

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	83	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-4	12	16.1	15.1	1.07	13.6	13.3	0.30
Jamaal Tinsley	47	48	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-6	16	16.9	15.2	1.71	14.2	12.9	1.27
Jeff Foster	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-6	16	15.6	16.7	-1.07	13.6	13.5	0.05
Fred Jones	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	4	-4	15.0	16.7	-1.76	13.6	13.5	0.04
Metta World Peace	87	89	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	3	-2	15.7	18.6	-2.91	13.4	15.3	-1.95
Austin Croshere	44	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	5	-6	16.8	15.3	1.47	14.0	13.2	0.83
Reggie Miller	59	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	1	2	15.9	16.1	-0.15	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Anthony Johnson	47	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	9	-14	16.1	15.9	0.14	13.2	13.9	-0.77
Scot Pollard	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	10	-16	16.1	16.0	0.10	12.8	13.7	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.6%
HOU 81, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.0%
OKC 104, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.91,1	92.7%