NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	8.2 [207]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +37.2%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	6.9 [63]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -15.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.37	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.06,0.37	0.06	0.30	-0.01	16	64%	0.41	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Doug Christie	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.24	-0.07	0.30	-0.01	8	42%	0.28	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	17	47%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.11	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	17	52%	0.02	3	-0.15	12	67%	0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.02	0.01	7	94%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	69%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	65%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.25,-0.36,-0.26,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	20	48%	0.13	3	-0.16	8	62%	0.04
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	11	42%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	12	23%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	0.2	28.3	16.4	25.5	2.4	37.2	137.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +92.5%

IND -25.1%

SAC +1.3%

IND -12.6%

IND -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	16.6	15.7	100.0	97.9	100.5
season	14.7	16.7		106.9	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		94.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	14.4	12.7	14.0	14.1
IND	13.7	17.7	19.1	16.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-7	16	13.6	15.8	-2.22	16.8	15.7	1.08
Peja Stojakovic	84	84	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-5	12	13.8	16.1	-2.25	16.7	15.3	1.40
Mike Bibby	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	1	0	14.3	12.8	1.43	16.6	16.0	0.63
Doug Christie	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-7	16	13.9	14.8	-0.96	16.6	16.4	0.21
Vlade Divac	31	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.38	-7	9	-16	16.1	13.1	2.95	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Chris Webber	84	85	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	0	2	13.8	16.6	-2.81	16.7	15.1	1.59
Anthony Peeler	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	8	-14	14.1	14.1	0.05	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Rodney Buford	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	7	-12	16.1	13.8	2.25	15.3	16.7	-1.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	23	25	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-8	14	14.9	17.1	-2.17	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Scot Pollard	9	11	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-7	12	14.3	16.8	-2.45	15.8	13.9	1.96
Jonathan Bender	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-7	12	16.1	16.8	-0.68	13.8	14.2	-0.47
Anthony Johnson	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.3	0.71	13.3	14.6	-1.32
Fred Jones	42	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	1	-4	17.2	16.0	1.24	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Jamaal Tinsley	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-1	0	16.3	17.0	-0.71	14.6	13.3	1.32
Al Harrington	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	3	-8	16.8	15.9	0.90	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Reggie Miller	58	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-1	0	16.4	16.8	-0.41	14.3	13.7	0.64
Jermaine O'Neal	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	4	-10	16.8	15.5	1.30	13.9	14.9	-1.08
Jeff Foster	72	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	7	-16	16.8	15.9	0.90	14.3	13.3	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.32,0.46,0.15,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.16,0.09,0	93.1%
ORL 107, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.16,0	92.8%
PHX 98, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.13,0	91.5%