NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	8.7 [148]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): +61.9%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	13.7 [114]		LVP	Bob Sura (GSW): -32.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.62	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.62	0.04	0.59	0.02	19	61%	0.70	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	9	50%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	17	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Crispin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.06	0.05	14	57%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31	-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	16	37%	-0.22	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0,0.33	0.33	0.03	0.28	-0.02	13	57%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	20	57%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33	-0.33	-0.05	-0.28	0.00	12	48%	-0.24	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	23.4	16.4	27.5	2.5	31.1	125.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.5%

GSW -6.7%

PHX +13.0%

GSW -3.6%

GSW -9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.6	105.4	105.4	102.3
season	15.1	14.7		101.0	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.2	15.6	11.7	18.2	15.3
GSW	12.6	18.7	16.6	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	27	26	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.70	1	0	1	14.4	15.6	-1.23	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Bo Outlaw	59	57	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-5	11	15.6	14.8	0.81	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Stephon Marbury	77	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-3	7	15.5	14.1	1.47	16.3	13.6	2.70
Anfernee Hardaway	83	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-5	11	15.7	12.1	3.56	16.4	11.7	4.67
Shawn Marion	83	83	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	2	-3	15.1	16.4	-1.26	15.7	17.6	-1.88
Jake Tsakalidis	59	57	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	-4	9	15.2	15.5	-0.35	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Joe Crispin	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	6	-11	12.1	15.7	-3.56	11.7	16.4	-4.67
John Wallace	41	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	4	-7	15.3	15.3	-0.02	16.8	15.1	1.71
Alton Ford	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	9	-17	15.5	15.2	0.31	15.6	16.0	-0.43

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	14	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-2	3	18.1	15.5	2.61	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Gilbert Arenas	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	0	-1	17.0	15.8	1.24	17.7	15.1	2.63
Chris Mills	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-3	5	18.5	14.4	4.10	15.5	15.2	0.32
Danny Fortson	47	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-1	1	14.5	17.3	-2.76	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Troy Murphy	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-3	5	17.2	14.9	2.35	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Jason Richardson	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	0	-1	16.1	15.2	0.94	15.6	14.4	1.24
Erick Dampier	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	1	-3	15.0	17.2	-2.21	15.7	14.7	1.00
Bob Sura	58	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-2	3	16.2	15.4	0.80	14.4	16.7	-2.25
Larry Hughes	59	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.51	-1	0	-1	14.8	17.8	-3.01	15.9	14.1	1.82
Antawn Jamison	79	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	5	-11	15.4	18.7	-3.30	15.4	14.5	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.16,0.09,0	91.8%
ORL 107, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.16,0	91.6%
SAC 94, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.35,0.32,0.46,0.15,0.27,0	91.5%