inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 110 Excitement10.7 [32] MVPNazr Mohammed (NYK): +47.6%
New York Knicks 114 Comeback39.2 [34] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -39.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Etan Thomas0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.050.09-0.00865%0.1500.00771%0.01
Kwame Brown0.130,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.130.010.120.001364%0.203-0.08771%-0.02
Mitchell Butler0.040,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.01-0.00667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01861%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Lonny Baxter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00150%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.11,-0.07-0.090.01-0.021755%0.146-0.21887%0.07
Jared Jeffries-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0140%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Steve Blake-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11-0.03-0.040.04350%-0.062-0.0400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.390,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.32,-0.39,-0.39-0.15-0.27-0.032153%-0.009-0.39989%0.03

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.480.480.030.44-0.011070%0.653-0.1800%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.001557%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.030.030.020.020.012357%0.203-0.171080%0.04
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.020.00653%0.011-0.02786%0.04
Michael Sweetney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00256%-0.0200.00560%-0.02
Allan Houston0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01411%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.011146%-0.0500.00250%-0.12
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00440%-0.012-0.072100%0.01
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00729%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.16,-0.22-0.22-0.13-0.10-0.011740%-0.103-0.11667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.52.427.016.726.82.638.80.620.8160.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +30.6%
WAS -12.2%
NYK +14.6%
NYK +18.3%
WAS -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASNYKNBAWASNYKNBA
this game14.615.915.7103.8110.7100.5
season15.215.596.498.6
opponent15.815.3100.8102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS16.113.414.714.314.614.6
NYK15.914.918.217.011.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Butler96930.14-0.640.79-0.129-132214.416.1-1.7016.212.63.65
Brendan Haywood31300.04-0.540.570.011-5616.913.63.2715.116.2-1.12
Lonny Baxter1111-0.22-0.280.070.08-106-1615.514.51.0014.216.1-1.92
Gilbert Arenas9796-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.373-71014.910.94.0116.66.610.00
Steve Blake1614-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-1410-2412.714.9-2.208.817.0-8.23
Jared Jeffries6363-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.34-1-3214.714.30.3517.014.12.85
Jerry Stackhouse6765-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.28-40-413.815.8-2.0015.217.1-1.88
Etan Thomas6260-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.32-51-614.315.0-0.6816.814.62.17
Kwame Brown8783-0.600.10-0.70-0.631-5614.415.2-0.7315.517.6-2.18

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Thomas82860.53-0.030.560.356-2815.816.1-0.2514.315.8-1.53
Michael Sweetney47470.51-0.010.520.1612-82016.415.50.9014.914.30.64
Moochie Norris24240.400.100.29-0.0114-102418.415.13.2414.414.6-0.18
Anfernee Hardaway60600.360.140.210.47-48-1216.714.81.8913.416.0-2.59
Kurt Thomas65680.360.140.210.59-812-2015.117.3-2.2114.215.3-1.10
Stephon Marbury80830.280.220.070.46-610-1615.019.1-4.1114.514.8-0.29
Nazr Mohammed56580.210.29-0.070.075-1615.915.9-0.0014.115.1-1.08
Shandon Anderson58600.040.46-0.41-0.4015-112614.817.3-2.4415.812.92.98
Allan Houston1818-0.170.67-0.840.06-812-2015.016.1-1.0815.714.31.34
Vin Baker3738-0.260.76-1.01-0.11-59-1417.115.21.8515.813.91.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.58,0.53,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 115, WAS 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.05,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.69,0.84,188.8%
CHI 114, DAL 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.55,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.86,0.96,187.8%
MIA 108, IND 1140.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.9,187.5%