NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	84		Excitement	3.8 [1050]		MVP	George Lynch (NOH): +7.1%
New Orleans Hornets	102		Comeback	1.0 [1198]		LVP	J.R. Bremer (GSW): -12.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.02	16	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	13	38%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	45%	-0.05	4	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
J.R. Bremer	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	-0.04	12	17%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	13	69%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	20	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	11	58%	0.04	4	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	13	35%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	27.3	15.8	25.4	1.7	29.3	128.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +35.7%

NOH +0.2%

NOH +7.7%

NOH +4.8%

NOH +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.7	91.3	109.7	100.5
season	16.1	16.0		100.8	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		99.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.9	16.4	16.5	17.0	16.4
NOH	13.5	14.9	15.5	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-14	10	13.3	16.7	-3.32	18.3	14.4	3.87
Adonal Foyle	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-15	12	16.6	16.4	0.17	17.4	14.3	3.11
J.R. Bremer	35	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-25	32	16.5	16.4	0.08	16.1	13.9	2.25
Brian Cardinal	19	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-16	14	14.9	16.8	-1.94	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Troy Murphy	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-18	18	15.9	17.2	-1.32	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Avery Johnson	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-2	-14	16.6	16.3	0.30	14.0	15.4	-1.35
Calbert Cheaney	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-10	2	16.6	16.2	0.46	13.7	16.2	-2.46
Mike Dunleavy	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	1	-20	16.4	16.5	-0.12	16.0	13.3	2.73
Jason Richardson	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	16.9	15.2	1.75	14.0	16.7	-2.70
Erick Dampier	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-8	-2	16.5	16.2	0.22	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Clifford Robinson	42	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	5	-28	17.0	15.9	1.08	14.9	14.6	0.28

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.20	24	-6	30	14.8	14.4	0.37	16.7	15.8	0.82
Stacey Augmon	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.21	23	-5	28	14.4	15.6	-1.20	17.0	15.1	1.84
Baron Davis	80	79	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-2	22	14.1	18.4	-4.27	16.7	15.1	1.58
David West	53	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-3	24	14.0	15.7	-1.69	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Jamaal Magloire	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	4	10	15.0	13.2	1.84	16.7	15.2	1.47
P.J. Brown	19	18	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	10	-2	14.4	14.8	-0.36	16.8	16.4	0.43
Darrell Armstrong	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	20	-22	15.5	14.3	1.20	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Robert Traylor	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	22	-26	16.2	14.1	2.06	15.6	16.8	-1.19
George Lynch	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	24	-30	14.2	15.0	-0.75	15.7	16.9	-1.12
Steven Smith	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	26	-34	18.7	14.3	4.38	16.1	16.5	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.95,1	96.1%
CHH 79, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 92, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%