NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	8.8 [120]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ORL): +46.3%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.4 [783]		LVP	Jason Terry (ATL): -21.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mamadou N'diaye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Hiram Fuller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	12	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.05	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	19	45%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.03
Bob Sura	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	12	47%	-0.14	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	22	44%	-0.10	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.46	0.46	0.09	0.38	0.00	11	77%	0.54	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	8	87%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	23	53%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Penigar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.15	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.3	16.8	25.6	2.5	38.2	138.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +106.4%

ATL -23.5%

ATL -34.0%

ATL -1.8%

ORL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.7	101.1	108.6	100.5
season	15.3	15.7		98.2	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	16.0	15.0	16.3	15.4
ORL	16.3	13.4	17.8	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	42	40	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-6	7	15.2	15.6	-0.47	16.5	14.2	2.32
Wesley Person	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	13.2	15.7	-2.49	15.6	15.2	0.44
Hiram Fuller	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	12.7	15.6	-2.95	19.3	14.9	4.41
Bob Sura	49	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-12	19	14.2	16.7	-2.54	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Mamadou N'diaye	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	0	-5	14.9	15.9	-0.93	16.6	14.0	2.60
Jason Terry	85	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	15.5	14.5	1.04	15.0	17.1	-2.12
Joel Przybilla	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-5	5	15.9	14.9	0.93	14.0	16.6	-2.60
Stephen Jackson	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	15.5	14.5	1.04	15.5	12.7	2.81
Jacque Vaughn	21	20	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	9	-23	18.3	14.6	3.73	14.1	15.5	-1.34
Chris Crawford	82	80	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.45	-9	4	-13	15.8	13.1	2.73	14.7	18.3	-3.61

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-4	13	14.7	17.1	-2.32	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Tracy McGrady	83	85	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	3	-1	15.2	15.6	-0.44	15.7	13.2	2.49
Juwan Howard	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	14.8	15.9	-1.09	15.7	15.0	0.63
Desmond Penigar	28	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-3	11	15.8	14.9	0.88	16.1	15.1	1.02
Steven Hunter	24	25	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	0	5	16.0	14.9	1.02	17.6	14.7	2.94
Tyronn Lue	75	76	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	6	-7	15.6	13.7	1.84	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Sean Rooks	38	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	4	-3	12.9	16.8	-3.91	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Drew Gooden	33	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	5	-5	15.9	14.8	1.09	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Andrew DeClercq	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	6	-7	17.5	14.1	3.37	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Keith Bogans	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	6	-7	16.0	15.1	0.92	13.9	15.7	-1.75
Reece Gaines	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	7	-9	12.7	15.4	-2.71	12.5	15.6	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.79,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,1	92.2%
DAL 98, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.93,0.84,0.96,0.59,1	91.6%
MIA 107, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.42,1	91.5%