NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	7.1 [384]		MVP	Baron Davis (NOH): +17.5%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	2.2 [757]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -15.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.02	13	69%	0.21	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	57%	0.12	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.06
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.05	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	22	39%	-0.03	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	17	60%	0.25	2	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	64%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	17	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.06
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	24.2	16.5	24.3	2.4	47.0	141.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +39.5%

LAC -2.3%

LAC -8.5%

NOH +24.0%

LAC -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.7	102.2	111.2	100.5
season	15.5	16.0		101.3	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	19.2	16.0	14.5	16.5
NOH	14.7	15.8	17.5	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	46	42	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.18	12	-18	30	14.9	18.1	-3.24	16.1	15.0	1.14
Chris Kaman	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-1	-4	16.2	16.5	-0.31	13.5	15.9	-2.39
Melvin Ely	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	18.4	15.5	2.83	17.6	14.5	3.12
Keyon Dooling	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-11	16	15.5	17.9	-2.44	15.8	15.1	0.71
Chris Wilcox	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-11	16	15.6	18.4	-2.83	15.6	15.3	0.26
Marko Jaric	37	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	5	-16	17.9	15.5	2.44	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Elton Brand	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	3	-12	16.7	15.6	1.09	15.0	17.9	-2.87
Quentin Richardson	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.28	-10	4	-14	16.3	17.0	-0.69	15.8	14.4	1.39
Corey Maggette	67	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	10	-26	17.5	13.5	4.04	14.8	17.5	-2.70

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-6	18	15.2	17.7	-2.52	17.1	12.2	4.96
P.J. Brown	65	67	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-6	18	14.8	17.4	-2.60	17.4	14.0	3.41
Jamaal Magloire	72	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-2	10	14.8	18.5	-3.72	16.2	17.7	-1.49
Jamal Mashburn	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-3	12	15.5	15.7	-0.28	16.9	14.5	2.39
Darrell Armstrong	46	48	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	15.1	16.0	-0.89	16.1	16.9	-0.78
Stacey Augmon	51	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	4	-2	15.8	15.2	0.63	16.2	16.8	-0.67
George Lynch	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	11	-16	18.1	15.1	2.97	14.1	16.9	-2.79
David West	41	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	16	-26	17.9	13.5	4.38	15.9	17.0	-1.13
Steven Smith	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	16.0	15.5	0.52	12.4	16.9	-4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.0%
CLE 85, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%
MIL 89, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%