inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 80 Excitement6.0 [606] MVPScot Pollard (IND): +10.6%
Indiana Pacers 94 Comeback2.0 [728] LVPGreg Ostertag (UTA): -19.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.04-0.00861%0.042-0.072100%0.02
Gordan Giricek-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00856%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Raul Lopez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.0200%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.01-0.06725%-0.0310.00250%0.00
Raja Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.021455%0.012-0.051070%0.04
Jarron Collins-0.060,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.011036%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.001551%-0.052-0.051369%-0.02
Michael Ruffin-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0240%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.15-0.06-0.00719%-0.123-0.08250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.040.003100%0.1100.001100%0.01
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00779%0.1000.005100%0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.010.011350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02150%0.021-0.032100%0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01581%0.063-0.08683%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00362%0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00555%-0.022-0.061070%-0.03
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.00529%-0.081-0.04450%-0.03
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.02515%-0.082-0.05367%-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.040.021060%-0.025-0.121587%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.734.116.433.42.830.0144.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +36.5%
IND +17.9%
UTA -6.1%
IND +1.4%
IND +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAINDNBAUTAINDNBA
this game17.416.415.793.0111.9100.5
season17.216.799.4101.1
opponent15.715.294.7100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA20.615.016.617.917.4
IND16.217.714.717.216.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag34320.04-0.540.58-0.022-161816.118.3-2.1917.715.72.03
Carlos Arroyo4443-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-11818.616.22.4015.117.8-2.69
Gordan Giricek4341-0.17-0.330.15-0.09-3-11815.319.5-4.1917.315.61.64
Mo Williams1614-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-7015.517.9-2.3916.116.5-0.43
Raul Lopez2627-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-10616.717.8-1.1318.715.43.35
Andrei Kirilenko6869-0.22-0.280.060.05-9-5-418.114.93.2316.516.00.52
Sasha Pavlovic2929-0.25-0.250.010.05-10-4-619.116.62.5116.016.7-0.71
Michael Ruffin4646-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-5-418.016.71.2915.417.6-2.20
Jarron Collins5149-0.520.02-0.53-0.19-11-3-818.915.43.4915.417.9-2.55
Raja Bell7370-0.560.06-0.62-0.09-162-1816.622.0-5.3716.914.32.57

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Johnson44440.430.070.360.1795416.516.30.2016.518.5-2.02
Fred Jones49500.420.080.350.071221016.815.90.8316.319.0-2.68
Scot Pollard22240.390.110.270.1877018.815.63.1817.717.30.43
Al Harrington61610.360.140.220.0995416.217.1-0.9117.317.7-0.34
Austin Croshere49480.320.180.130.02104617.215.31.8615.420.1-4.72
Jermaine O'Neal70730.230.27-0.040.0277016.118.2-2.1417.616.31.34
Jonathan Bender24260.140.36-0.21-0.0059-416.816.30.5717.917.20.63
Reggie Miller35360.080.42-0.350.02212-1015.916.8-0.8319.016.32.68
Jamaal Tinsley40420.070.43-0.36-0.0859-416.316.5-0.2018.516.52.02
Jeff Foster26260.070.43-0.37-0.05410-614.217.4-3.2920.216.24.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 87, UTA 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.9,0.95,1,1,193.9%
UTA 113, DEN 1260.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,193.6%
TOR 94, CHA 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.98,193.4%