NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	6.6 [488]		MVP	Darius Miles (POR): +16.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	2.3 [221]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -23.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.12	-0.01	12	69%	0.29	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.05
Carlos Arroyo	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15	-0.01	0.17	0.02	11	62%	0.21	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.08
Mikki Moore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mo Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.01	14	63%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.06	0.03	16	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.06	-0.06	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.12	11	91%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	15	44%	-0.10	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.5	27.4	14.7	22.3	2.4	36.9	127.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.1%

UTA +10.5%

UTA +5.6%

POR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.7	100.0	95.3	100.5
season	17.2	17.1		99.4	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	20.1	16.0	19.2	16.4	17.8
POR	16.7	16.7	16.8	13.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	0	5	16.6	19.3	-2.64	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Andrei Kirilenko	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	18.5	16.3	2.16	15.2	17.4	-2.13
DeShawn Stevenson	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	1	3	17.8	17.8	-0.05	15.6	16.2	-0.68
Greg Ostertag	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	4	-3	18.9	14.5	4.39	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Carlos Arroyo	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	3	-1	17.9	17.6	0.30	15.5	16.4	-0.97
Jarron Collins	38	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	1	3	16.7	18.7	-1.93	15.8	15.9	-0.04
Raul Lopez	36	35	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	2	1	17.6	17.9	-0.30	16.4	15.5	0.97
Sasha Pavlovic	3	2	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	3	-1	12.0	18.0	-6.02	11.5	16.0	-4.46
Mikki Moore	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	2	1	15.9	18.4	-2.43	17.1	15.5	1.69
Mo Williams	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	16.0	18.4	-2.44	16.7	15.6	1.17
Michael Ruffin	42	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.10	-3	8	-11	19.8	16.0	3.81	16.6	15.2	1.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Qyntel Woods	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.1	16.1	-1.95	15.0	18.1	-3.14
Dale Davis	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	16.7	14.5	2.13	18.4	16.9	1.54
Omar Cook	17	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	3	-11	18.1	15.3	2.82	15.5	18.4	-2.85
Derek Anderson	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-9	13	15.5	17.9	-2.48	17.8	17.8	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	0	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.53	16.1	19.0	-2.87
Damon Stoudamire	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.8	16.2	-0.41	18.4	13.7	4.66
Vladimir Stepania	26	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	16.2	15.7	0.48	19.2	17.1	2.10
Darius Miles	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	2	-9	15.8	15.9	-0.09	17.8	17.9	-0.06
Zach Randolph	78	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	-3	1	15.5	20.0	-4.51	18.0	15.8	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	93.2%
LAL 109, CHH 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	92.3%
CHA 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	92.2%