NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	3.1 [1155]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +9.4%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	1.6 [355]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -9.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	16	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	75%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	55%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	20%	0.00	2	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	17	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	17	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	53%	-0.01	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	2	83%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	7	14%	-0.06	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	1.8	27.0	15.7	30.1	2.6	28.4	126.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.0%

IND +5.9%

IND +1.9%

IND +14.3%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.7	109.6	89.4	100.5
season	16.7	15.2		101.1	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.3	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	15.2	14.8	16.1	15.7
CHI	13.8	16.8	15.2	13.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-3	25	14.8	18.2	-3.36	15.1	14.3	0.80
Jermaine O'Neal	66	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	2	15	15.7	15.9	-0.18	15.7	13.2	2.45
Austin Croshere	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	6	7	15.4	16.1	-0.64	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Reggie Miller	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	7	5	17.3	14.4	2.98	16.9	13.2	3.65
Anthony Johnson	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	1	17	13.9	17.2	-3.25	14.8	15.0	-0.17
Fred Jones	59	59	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	9	1	15.0	17.0	-2.02	13.8	16.8	-3.02
Jamaal Tinsley	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	12	-5	16.8	14.9	1.94	16.4	13.9	2.49
Scot Pollard	43	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	11	-3	15.0	16.3	-1.27	13.3	16.3	-3.02
Jeff Foster	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	19	-19	17.3	15.0	2.35	15.8	14.5	1.27
Jonathan Bender	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	17.9	15.3	2.62	12.9	15.3	-2.40
Kenny Anderson	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	18.1	15.4	2.72	10.8	15.6	-4.71

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	45	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-18	17	14.0	15.7	-1.69	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Marcus Fizer	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-19	19	13.9	15.2	-1.36	16.9	15.4	1.50
Rick Brunson	31	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-18	17	14.9	14.9	-0.00	16.9	15.1	1.86
Eddie Robinson	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-18	17	14.7	15.0	-0.25	16.9	15.1	1.78
Tyson Chandler	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-12	5	13.7	15.6	-1.83	16.8	15.1	1.61
Antonio Davis	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-15	11	15.6	14.1	1.44	15.7	15.8	-0.06
Jerome Williams	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-10	1	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.4	16.2	-0.78
Corie Blount	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-6	-7	16.5	14.4	2.08	14.8	16.0	-1.26
Eddy Curry	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-1	-17	14.9	14.9	0.00	15.1	16.9	-1.86
Jamal Crawford	57	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.28	-23	4	-27	15.5	13.9	1.58	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Kirk Hinrich	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-1	-17	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.5	16.1	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 120, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
GSW 112, DAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
IND 102, NOH 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%