NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	3.2 [933]		MVP	Solomon Jones (NOH): +8.4%
New Orleans Hornets	84		Comeback	1.4 [809]		LVP	Chris Kaman (NOH): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	65%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	65%	0.06	3	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
David West	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	77%	0.02	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
A.J. Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	5	30%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	4	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.01	0.07	8	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	6	86%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.04	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	11	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	0.08	11	64%	0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	16	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	15	33%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	27.7	15.0	27.0	1.8	31.2	127.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.7%

IND +5.0%

IND +8.1%

IND +6.7%

IND +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.6	112.1	92.3	102.8
season	15.7	16.3		104.2	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	13.3	16.0	16.7	15.8
NOH	14.2	18.0	16.0	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	54	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.19	22	-4	26	14.8	17.2	-2.35	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Darren Collison	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	1	16	14.8	17.2	-2.38	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Danny Granger	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	-3	24	15.5	16.2	-0.65	15.5	16.6	-1.09
David West	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	7	4	15.3	16.5	-1.21	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Paul George	48	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	6	6	15.2	16.4	-1.23	15.6	16.2	-0.63
George Hill	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.36	17	1	16	16.4	15.3	1.07	17.4	14.8	2.69
Dahntay Jones	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	20	-22	15.7	15.8	-0.12	16.5	15.6	0.88
Lou Amundson	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	19	-20	17.0	15.2	1.79	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Tyler Hansbrough	29	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.39	16	2	14	16.5	15.4	1.05	18.1	14.7	3.41
A.J. Price	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	17	-16	17.2	14.8	2.38	16.1	15.7	0.39
Jeff Ayres	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	30	-42	17.5	15.5	1.99	12.3	16.4	-4.10
Lance Stephenson	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	30	-42	17.5	15.5	1.99	12.3	16.4	-4.10

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	44	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.15	-6	-12	6	16.2	15.5	0.72	17.4	14.4	2.99
Greivis Vasquez	42	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-22	26	16.4	15.4	1.02	16.5	15.2	1.31
Lance Thomas	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-24	30	15.9	15.9	-0.01	16.8	15.4	1.37
Xavier Henry	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-20	22	15.7	16.1	-0.40	16.8	14.7	2.12
Al-Farouq Aminu	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.29	-20	2	-22	16.1	15.7	0.40	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Chris Kaman	50	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	2	-22	15.6	16.2	-0.66	15.1	16.6	-1.57
Gustavo Ayon	64	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	-2	-14	15.9	15.9	-0.07	14.9	18.0	-3.07
Jarrett Jack	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.39	-30	12	-42	16.2	15.0	1.19	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Marco Belinelli	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	-8	-2	15.3	18.3	-3.06	15.6	16.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 126, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
NOH 100, ATL 59	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DEN 117, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%