NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	7.9 [245]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +36.4%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	18.6 [36]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -21.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.36	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36	0.24	0.14	0.01	13	97%	0.41	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,0.01,0.07	-0.07	0.14	-0.00	14	50%	0.15	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	11	50%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	13	73%	0.22	2	-0.13	11	100%	0.14
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	0.03	14	58%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	15	28%	-0.12	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	25.2	15.4	28.0	1.8	31.3	128.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +50.9%

WAS -22.9%

MEM +4.5%

MEM +18.8%

WAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.7	104.0	103.1	100.5
season	15.3	15.2		102.3	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.4	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.5	13.1	16.1	13.6	14.3
WAS	13.2	15.7	13.9	17.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	62	62	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.36	21	-19	40	14.7	13.6	1.17	15.2	14.4	0.78
Lorenzen Wright	67	66	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.36	20	-18	38	14.6	13.7	0.86	15.1	14.7	0.37
Earl Watson	44	44	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-10	22	14.1	14.4	-0.30	16.0	14.1	1.93
Shane Battier	58	55	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.70	0	2	-2	13.0	16.1	-3.10	15.7	13.9	1.84
Bo Outlaw	38	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-10	22	15.0	13.9	1.09	16.4	14.0	2.34
Pau Gasol	61	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.41	-10	12	-22	13.9	15.0	-1.09	14.0	16.4	-2.34
Mike Miller	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	13.1	14.7	-1.66	13.8	15.3	-1.54
Jason Williams	55	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.07	-10	12	-22	14.4	14.1	0.30	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Dahntay Jones	6	5	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	10	-18	16.2	14.2	1.98	12.4	15.1	-2.68
Bonzi Wells	46	48	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.16	-6	8	-14	15.8	13.0	2.76	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Stromile Swift	32	32	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	20	-38	13.7	14.6	-0.86	14.7	15.1	-0.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	2	-6	16.1	14.4	1.65	15.2	13.9	1.34
Jarvis Hayes	24	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	4	-10	16.5	14.4	2.12	15.1	14.1	1.02
Steve Blake	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	2	-6	14.9	15.0	-0.07	14.2	14.3	-0.08
Brendan Haywood	64	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-12	22	13.8	17.1	-3.25	14.7	13.5	1.18
Larry Hughes	82	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.47	10	-12	22	14.5	17.1	-2.54	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Gilbert Arenas	74	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.53	12	-14	26	14.4	16.6	-2.23	14.4	14.1	0.24
Brevin Knight	8	9	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	6	-14	20.5	14.4	6.06	12.3	14.5	-2.17
Kwame Brown	70	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.2	16.9	-2.69	14.5	13.9	0.57
Juan Dixon	17	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	8	-18	17.1	14.5	2.64	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Jerry Stackhouse	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.55	4	-6	10	14.4	16.5	-2.12	14.1	15.1	-1.02
Etan Thomas	29	28	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.04	-20	18	-38	17.9	13.7	4.15	13.0	14.8	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.47,0.41,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.16,0	91.7%
WAS 90, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0	90.4%
CLE 91, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.52,0.33,0.02,0	90.0%