NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	7.4 [321]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +28.9%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.6 [799]		LVP	Marcus Banks (BOS): -21.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.29	0.11	0.17	-0.01	18	67%	0.31	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	6	100%	0.21	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.03	14	66%	0.07	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Jiri Welsch	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	53%	-0.01	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,-0.11	0.04	-0.15	-0.00	12	62%	0.07	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26	0.26	0.06	0.21	0.00	7	73%	0.28	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.17	-0.00	6	75%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	59%	0.01	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	21	51%	-0.01	4	-0.15	11	64%	-0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	30.3	16.4	25.5	2.4	35.5	140.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.1%

IND +3.1%

IND +6.0%

IND +12.2%

IND +10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	16.3	15.7	105.4	106.5	100.5
season	14.4	16.7		99.5	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		94.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	13.7	13.7	16.4	14.7
IND	15.0	16.3	17.0	17.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-2	3	4.0	14.8	-10.77	0.0	16.5	-16.49
Jiri Welsch	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	4	-9	14.9	14.4	0.51	16.1	16.5	-0.36
Chris Mihm	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-2	3	15.0	14.0	0.95	16.4	16.1	0.27
Brandon Hunter	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	14.2	14.7	-0.56	16.4	16.3	0.06
Marcus Banks	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	1	-3	14.7	14.6	0.05	17.3	15.5	1.76
Mike James	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-2	3	14.6	14.7	-0.05	15.5	17.3	-1.76
Walter McCarty	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.58	8	-9	17	14.2	15.6	-1.30	17.2	14.4	2.77
Ricky Davis	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.55	5	-6	11	14.4	15.8	-1.36	16.7	14.5	2.19
Mark Blount	48	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	8	-17	15.1	14.2	0.97	15.4	17.4	-2.00
Paul Pierce	65	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	1	-3	14.7	14.5	0.27	16.0	17.1	-1.07

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	-2	5	16.1	18.4	-2.34	14.4	16.6	-2.25
Fred Jones	41	41	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	0	1	17.7	15.2	2.41	15.4	14.0	1.40
Anthony Johnson	46	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	3	-5	17.7	15.0	2.74	15.1	14.2	1.00
Austin Croshere	22	24	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	-2	5	17.2	16.0	1.20	15.5	14.3	1.19
Jeff Foster	50	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	-2	5	15.2	17.7	-2.49	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Scot Pollard	26	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	0	1	19.1	15.2	3.84	15.1	14.5	0.64
Reggie Miller	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	-3	7	15.2	18.1	-2.84	14.7	14.5	0.18
Jamaal Tinsley	47	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-2	5	15.0	17.7	-2.74	14.2	15.1	-1.00
Jermaine O'Neal	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	-1	3	14.4	17.1	-2.68	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Al Harrington	66	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.41	-13	14	-27	17.0	14.7	2.27	14.3	15.4	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.72,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.62,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.94,1,1	92.8%
DET 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,1	92.1%
CLE 99, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.76,0.64,0.78,0.74,1	91.6%