NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	4.5 [904]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +9.8%
Washington Wizards	83		Comeback	1.1 [487]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (WAS): -17.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	75%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	100%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Qyntel Woods	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.05	15	50%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	26	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	57%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	58%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	8	31%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	13	15%	-0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	28.3	14.8	30.0	2.4	32.7	132.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +54.8%

WAS -0.2%

WAS -1.3%

POR +0.2%

WAS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.7	104.4	92.2	100.5
season	17.1	15.2		101.5	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.4	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	16.1	16.2	17.7	16.1
WAS	19.4	17.4	13.8	13.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	72	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-5	21	15.5	18.1	-2.57	16.2	14.8	1.40
Damon Stoudamire	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	3	5	16.2	15.0	1.17	16.0	15.0	1.05
Derek Anderson	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-2	15	15.3	17.3	-1.97	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Rasheed Wallace	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	0	11	16.5	15.1	1.35	15.8	16.2	-0.34
Darius Miles	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	3	5	15.6	16.4	-0.73	16.7	15.4	1.37
Ruben Patterson	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	16.4	15.6	0.73	15.4	16.7	-1.37
Dale Davis	47	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	16	-21	16.3	15.8	0.46	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Wesley Person	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	13	-15	17.3	15.3	1.97	16.0	15.9	0.14
Qyntel Woods	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	8	-5	15.0	16.2	-1.17	15.0	16.0	-1.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	26	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-17	23	15.9	16.0	-0.08	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Torraye Braggs	9	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-14	17	15.2	16.0	-0.80	20.7	15.6	5.15
Brendan Haywood	40	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-16	21	15.7	16.1	-0.44	17.0	15.3	1.67
Christian Laettner	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-7	3	17.3	15.7	1.60	16.1	16.1	0.03
Steve Blake	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-12	13	15.5	16.6	-1.05	16.5	15.5	0.96
Brevin Knight	43	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	2	-15	17.0	15.0	2.07	15.6	16.5	-0.95
Etan Thomas	38	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.07	-17	6	-23	16.8	15.3	1.42	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Juan Dixon	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-1	-9	15.7	20.6	-4.93	16.1	16.0	0.06
Kwame Brown	77	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-1	-9	16.2	14.6	1.55	15.8	17.5	-1.67
Jarvis Hayes	68	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	5	-21	15.2	18.1	-2.84	15.9	16.5	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.17,0.31,0.12,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.7%
PHI 106, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.7%
NJN 94, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.01,0,0	94.3%