NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.8 [845]		MVP	Speedy Claxton (PHI): +10.0%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.0 [661]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -13.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.03	-0.04	7	59%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.04	-0.01	31	63%	0.14	5	-0.09	13	85%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joseph Forte	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	37%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	24	55%	0.07	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	18	41%	-0.07	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	33.4	15.5	28.4	2.6	33.0	136.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.3%

PHI +18.4%

PHI +12.2%

PHI +7.2%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.6	112.8	96.8	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.3	15.7	17.6	17.6	16.2
BOS	14.5	13.1	15.1	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	1	14	16.4	15.6	0.76	14.9	13.4	1.48
Allen Iverson	92	91	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	2	12	16.3	12.5	3.82	14.5	18.5	-4.03
Derrick Coleman	77	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	5	6	16.5	15.2	1.29	15.0	12.9	2.09
Matt Harpring	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	9	-2	16.5	16.0	0.52	15.6	13.2	2.41
Eric Snow	51	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.13	12	4	8	16.1	16.4	-0.38	15.1	13.9	1.23
Aaron McKie	10	12	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	8	0	13.8	16.5	-2.72	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Speedy Claxton	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	9	-2	15.0	17.2	-2.19	13.8	15.2	-1.45
Derrick McKey	52	53	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	14	-12	16.5	15.9	0.64	13.7	15.6	-1.91
Vonteego Cummings	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	11	-6	16.6	16.2	0.40	13.6	14.7	-1.16
Raja Bell	7	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	17	-18	18.4	16.1	2.37	11.0	14.8	-3.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joseph Forte	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	18.5	14.5	4.03	12.5	16.3	-3.82
Joe Johnson	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-10	4	14.3	14.6	-0.29	12.4	16.7	-4.29
Eric Williams	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-17	18	14.4	14.7	-0.28	15.7	16.7	-1.08
Walter McCarty	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-4	-8	14.6	14.6	-0.00	10.2	16.8	-6.54
Mark Blount	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	-5	-6	14.9	14.5	0.40	11.3	16.8	-5.52
Tony Battie	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	15.1	14.2	0.97	15.8	16.5	-0.75
Milt Palacio	29	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-15	14	13.2	15.2	-2.02	17.5	15.7	1.85
Vitaly Potapenko	43	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.28	3	-19	22	14.0	15.0	-0.95	18.0	14.6	3.43
Erick Strickland	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-3	-10	14.7	14.4	0.25	16.7	15.8	0.94
Kenny Anderson	57	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	15.6	12.9	2.68	16.3	16.1	0.19
Antoine Walker	87	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-7	-2	14.2	19.2	-4.93	16.7	8.4	8.27
Paul Pierce	88	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	-2	-12	14.6	14.4	0.17	16.3	15.5	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 112, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.2%
IND 93, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0	95.1%