NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	8.2 [204]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (NJN): +11.7%
New Jersey Nets	84		Comeback	9.9 [60]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -37.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	90%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Jonathan Bender	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	16	61%	0.09	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	18	41%	-0.17	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Al Harrington	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.01	9	62%	0.00	5	-0.23	6	83%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	13	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	44%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.00	-0.20	-0.02	19	52%	-0.03	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.36,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	0.00	13	59%	0.08	8	-0.37	3	33%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37	-0.37	-0.07	-0.29	0.01	13	47%	-0.24	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	32.3	15.8	30.1	2.4	35.3	141.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.7%

IND +14.6%

IND +6.2%

IND +6.5%

NJN -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.7	96.8	89.4	100.5
season	16.7	15.3		101.1	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.7		95.2	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	16.2	18.4	15.3	16.4
NJN	15.0	14.3	14.3	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	68	71	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.40	15	-9	24	15.8	18.0	-2.17	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Jermaine O'Neal	58	61	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-7	20	16.3	16.5	-0.27	14.5	14.3	0.21
Jamaal Tinsley	48	51	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-2	10	15.7	17.1	-1.38	13.3	15.7	-2.41
Al Harrington	76	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-4	14	16.3	16.7	-0.40	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Jonathan Bender	25	23	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-3	12	17.0	16.2	0.80	16.2	13.9	2.36
Metta World Peace	76	77	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	9	-12	16.0	18.1	-2.06	14.0	16.5	-2.56
Jeff Foster	37	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	7	-8	16.0	16.6	-0.67	15.2	13.9	1.31
Anthony Johnson	45	43	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	8	-10	17.1	15.7	1.38	15.7	13.3	2.41
Scot Pollard	9	9	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.06	-9	15	-24	19.8	16.0	3.77	13.3	14.6	-1.22
Fred Jones	23	21	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.05	-10	16	-26	18.5	15.7	2.85	14.0	14.6	-0.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	33	36	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.14	3	-9	12	15.5	13.9	1.57	16.1	16.6	-0.52
Lucious Harris	26	27	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-9	12	16.3	13.7	2.53	17.9	15.8	2.08
Aaron Williams	35	36	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.18	-2	-4	2	17.2	12.8	4.40	16.6	16.2	0.34
Jason Kidd	88	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-5	4	14.3	16.7	-2.38	16.5	14.2	2.36
Richard Jefferson	88	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	14.3	16.7	-2.38	16.6	14.0	2.57
Jason Collins	57	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	-4	2	13.1	16.5	-3.43	17.0	15.6	1.40
Kerry Kittles	74	73	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.32	-14	8	-22	14.0	16.1	-2.18	15.6	19.2	-3.60
Kenyon Martin	69	66	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.38	-16	10	-26	13.9	16.0	-2.18	15.8	17.9	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.55,0.29,0	91.5%
LAL 90, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	91.5%
POR 95, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	91.2%