NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	127		Excitement	7.6 [290]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +41.5%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	1.1 [571]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (NYK): -15.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.42	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.42	0.20	0.23	0.01	16	85%	0.52	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	21	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	17	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.08	-0.00	24	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	18	38%	-0.09	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.20	0.01	25	57%	0.38	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	85%	0.07	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Michael Sweetney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.08	0.05	24	67%	0.09	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	20	45%	-0.07	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.0	2.5	27.4	16.4	22.6	2.5	29.4	1.5	15.2	138.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +14.1%

NYK -2.1%

DAL +8.0%

DAL +17.9%

DAL +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.7	119.8	114.2	100.5
season	14.6	15.5		109.2	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	12.2	16.9	15.0	21.5	16.0	16.1
NYK	15.5	14.4	13.8	12.2	12.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	91	88	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-11	28	15.7	18.4	-2.66	14.4	11.5	2.88
Dirk Nowitzki	94	95	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-6	18	15.9	18.2	-2.32	13.9	13.5	0.48
Michael Finley	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	16.1	0.0	16.11	13.9	0.0	13.89
Antoine Walker	95	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-1	8	15.7	19.5	-3.83	13.6	16.1	-2.46
Antawn Jamison	73	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	17.7	12.5	5.18	14.0	13.7	0.33
Shawn Bradley	4	3	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	2	2	17.5	16.1	1.44	15.7	13.8	1.83
Tony Delk	6	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	22.0	15.8	6.24	13.2	13.9	-0.72
Travis Best	15	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	17	-28	18.4	15.7	2.66	11.5	14.4	-2.88
Marquis Daniels	46	46	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.10	-6	12	-18	14.0	17.7	-3.69	14.1	13.7	0.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Williams	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	15.1	13.7	1.36	18.5	15.8	2.68
Shandon Anderson	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-1	-4	13.8	13.9	-0.07	16.9	15.9	0.97
Michael Sweetney	5	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-3	0	16.0	13.8	2.22	18.6	15.9	2.63
Dikembe Mutombo	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	14.3	13.8	0.50	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Kurt Thomas	90	90	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-6	6	14.0	13.5	0.46	16.2	15.6	0.65
Othella Harrington	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.50	5	-11	16	13.8	14.0	-0.16	16.6	14.9	1.76
Stephon Marbury	104	103	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	13.9	11.0	2.94	16.1	17.3	-1.26
Anfernee Hardaway	97	96	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	13.7	16.3	-2.67	15.6	21.1	-5.51
Allan Houston	95	96	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	3	-12	13.7	15.8	-2.16	15.8	18.8	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.33,0.34,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.43,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.28,0	90.2%
NJN 102, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.21,0.24,0.52,0.38,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.01,0	90.0%
BOS 107, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.22,0.45,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	89.7%