NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	8.8 [110]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +37.5%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.6 [397]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -40.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.38	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38	0.09	0.24	-0.05	36	57%	0.43	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.2	-0.01	0.19	-0.02	16	58%	0.30	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	6	56%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.18	0.04	20	66%	0.29	0	0.00	10	90%	0.11
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.01	2	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.07
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	-0.00	8	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.12	0.02	9	44%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.07,-0.03,-0.17,-0.25,-0.32,-0.38,-0.38,-0.4	-0.40	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	29	45%	-0.31	2	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.5	17.4	22.6	2.3	32.5	2.3	14.4	146.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +82.8%

SAC -22.5%

PHI +0.7%

SAC -12.9%

PHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	17.7	14.1	15.5	107.0	104.0	100.9
season	15.7	14.4		101.4	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	14.0	19.3	17.1	20.0	19.0	17.7
SAC	16.0	12.0	15.6	12.8	14.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	79	78	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-11	25	17.5	18.2	-0.73	14.6	12.4	2.28
Tyrone Hill	73	73	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.26	16	-13	29	18.1	16.4	1.72	14.6	12.8	1.82
Aaron McKie	89	90	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-11	25	17.4	19.7	-2.32	14.3	12.6	1.71
Theo Ratliff	81	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-9	21	17.0	20.3	-3.21	15.0	10.5	4.46
Allen Iverson	98	98	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-4	11	17.4	30.5	-13.10	14.2	10.5	3.71
Jumaine Jones	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	3	-3	16.0	17.9	-1.89	15.2	14.0	1.17
Toni Kukoc	19	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	14	-25	18.5	17.5	1.07	10.2	15.2	-5.02
Todd MacCulloch	32	31	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.26	-18	21	-39	17.7	17.6	0.09	12.1	15.0	-2.91
Kevin Ollie	17	16	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.08	-19	22	-41	22.2	16.7	5.51	12.3	14.5	-2.18

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	42	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.54	19	-22	41	13.1	14.9	-1.84	20.5	15.5	4.96
Lawrence Funderburke	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-3	3	13.3	14.2	-0.92	23.6	17.2	6.36
Hedo Turkoglu	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	15.2	14.0	1.17	16.0	17.9	-1.89
Scot Pollard	61	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.61	18	-21	39	13.0	16.0	-3.01	19.1	15.4	3.65
Bobby Jackson	52	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.53	15	-18	33	13.7	14.7	-1.01	20.0	15.1	4.96
Jason Williams	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	15	-33	14.7	13.7	1.01	15.1	20.0	-4.96
Peja Stojakovic	89	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	0	-3	14.0	15.2	-1.17	17.9	16.0	1.89
Doug Christie	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	19	-41	14.9	13.1	1.84	15.5	20.5	-4.96
Vlade Divac	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	18	-39	16.0	13.0	3.01	15.4	19.1	-3.65
Chris Webber	93	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.2	13.3	0.92	17.2	23.6	-6.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.43,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 127, NYK 121	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.33,0.34,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0	90.2%
BOS 98, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,0	89.4%
NJN 102, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.21,0.24,0.52,0.38,0.16,0.05,0.01,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.01,0	89.3%