NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	7.2 [371]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +89.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	119		Comeback	67.5 [30]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -12.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.07	0.14	-0.03	15	37%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	0.09
Damon Stoudamire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.11,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	20	55%	0.17	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	-0.03	10	70%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.12	0.00	19	62%	0.06	5	-0.18	7	86%	-0.06

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.69,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9	0.90	0.19	0.73	0.02	27	70%	1.07	3	-0.18	6	83%	-0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	58%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	4	86%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.05	0.04	14	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	79%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	40%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.0	15.8	23.0	1.8	36.2	1.8	12.9	143.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +84.7%

POR -22.4%

POR -30.6%

SEA +19.1%

POR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	17.7	15.2	15.7	112.5	122.7	100.5
season	17.1	15.6		101.5	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.5	16.1	20.4	20.1	16.2	17.7
SEA	15.1	16.6	14.8	14.2	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	57	59	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.05	14	-25	39	17.7	17.7	-0.01	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Ruben Patterson	33	34	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.37	-6	-5	-1	17.4	17.9	-0.57	15.6	15.0	0.56
Jeff McInnis	58	59	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-15	19	17.7	17.9	-0.21	14.7	16.0	-1.23
Rasheed Wallace	73	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-6	1	18.1	16.7	1.43	14.9	16.1	-1.14
Zach Randolph	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-6	1	17.4	20.9	-3.53	14.9	17.6	-2.72
Qyntel Woods	17	16	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	-4	-3	17.9	17.7	0.17	18.1	14.7	3.47
Damon Stoudamire	86	87	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.13	-18	7	-25	18.1	14.6	3.50	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Wesley Person	61	61	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.14	-21	10	-31	17.8	17.6	0.17	15.9	14.1	1.73

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	50	50	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.23	22	-11	33	14.2	16.4	-2.20	18.8	16.6	2.25
Antonio Daniels	50	49	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.17	21	-10	31	15.7	14.7	1.02	17.7	17.8	-0.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	61	60	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-6	23	15.0	15.7	-0.74	17.7	17.7	-0.02
Ray Allen	84	83	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-2	15	14.9	17.6	-2.76	17.9	17.0	0.86
Rashard Lewis	73	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	12	-13	15.1	15.6	-0.47	17.6	18.0	-0.40
Richie Frahm	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	7.0	15.3	-8.31	8.0	17.8	-9.84
Luke Ridnour	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	12	-13	14.3	15.3	-1.01	14.0	18.1	-4.08
Reggie Evans	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	13	-15	16.9	15.0	1.96	14.8	18.2	-3.44
Ronald Murray	37	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.22	5	6	-1	16.6	14.4	2.21	18.7	17.1	1.57
Vitaly Potapenko	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	16	-21	16.5	15.1	1.38	15.1	18.1	-2.99
Calvin Booth	50	48	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.18	-2	13	-15	15.8	14.7	1.10	18.1	17.4	0.69
Brent Barry	48	48	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	23	-35	15.0	15.5	-0.53	17.8	17.7	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.45,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.9,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.54,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.74,1	89.5%
CHA 108, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	89.2%
CHA 105, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0,0.01,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	88.9%