NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	10.6 [25]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +42.2%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	38.8 [13]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -45.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.05
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Adam Keefe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.12	0.01	9	71%	-0.05	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.09
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	1	87%	0.03	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	2	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.06
Karl Malone	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.33,-0.47,-0.47,-0.4,-0.31,-0.31	-0.14	-0.23	-0.06	23	47%	-0.06	3	-0.25	20	65%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.42	0.42	0.04	0.38	-0.01	17	63%	0.49	2	-0.07	17	65%	-0.07
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.08	-0.05	10	50%	0.15	3	-0.06	2	0%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.3,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	12	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	10	17%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.29,-0.54,-0.6,-0.53,-0.59,-0.59,-0.45	-0.45	-0.15	-0.30	0.00	23	48%	-0.32	5	-0.13	15	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	28.2	14.7	28.0	2.4	40.2	1.5	19.8	164.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -2.4%

UTA -12.8%

DET +38.8%

DET +16.7%

DET +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	16.0	15.8	102.0	106.1	99.6
season	16.4	16.6		102.6	101.4
opponent	16.1	16.0		97.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	17.2	16.6	15.8	16.1	14.9	16.3
DET	15.5	17.7	15.5	14.5	18.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	37	39	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.22	9	-12	21	16.3	16.3	0.07	16.1	15.9	0.13
Greg Ostertag	53	54	0.41	-0.91	1.31	-0.03	15	-18	33	16.5	16.0	0.57	15.0	17.2	-2.14
Adam Keefe	20	21	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-3	3	15.2	16.5	-1.29	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Todd Fuller	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-4	5	18.7	16.0	2.69	21.9	15.3	6.57
Greg Foster	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.21	-9	6	-15	14.8	16.6	-1.80	16.5	15.9	0.63
Bryon Russell	70	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-6	9	16.7	15.4	1.28	16.7	14.4	2.25
Shandon Anderson	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	8	-19	16.4	16.2	0.17	16.1	15.9	0.17
Karl Malone	89	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	16.4	15.0	1.43	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Jeff Hornacek	69	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.64	2	-5	7	16.1	16.6	-0.46	15.6	16.8	-1.20
John Stockton	62	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.50	-10	7	-17	16.3	16.3	-0.07	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Thurl Bailey	26	23	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.73	-11	8	-19	15.4	16.6	-1.17	15.8	16.1	-0.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.52	7	-4	11	15.6	16.6	-1.00	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Grant Hill	84	83	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	15.1	21.1	-6.00	16.8	13.6	3.24
Jerry Stackhouse	79	80	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-8	19	15.0	20.0	-4.96	16.6	14.8	1.85
Christian Laettner	53	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	5	-7	17.3	14.5	2.75	16.1	16.5	-0.46
Bison Dele	59	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-5	13	15.1	17.4	-2.26	16.4	16.0	0.39
Jud Buechler	20	21	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	7	-11	18.8	15.3	3.52	14.3	16.8	-2.47
Don Reid	23	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-1	5	13.6	16.7	-3.12	17.2	16.0	1.22
Loy Vaught	4	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	2	-1	16.7	16.0	0.78	22.2	16.0	6.23
Khalid Reeves	23	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.10	1	2	-1	18.4	15.3	3.12	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Eric Montross	22	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	15.0	16.3	-1.29	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Joe Dumars	28	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.10	-13	16	-29	18.0	15.2	2.80	17.1	16.0	1.15
Jerome Williams	34	32	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.12	-6	9	-15	17.9	15.0	2.88	15.9	16.5	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.54,0.62,0.78,0.77,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	89.8%
POR 108, SEA 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.45,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.9,1,1,1	89.5%
CHA 108, NJN 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.54,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.96,1	89.0%