NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	6.5 [509]		MVP	Damon Jones (MIL): +43.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	15.9 [110]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -6.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.08	-0.04	23	52%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Anthony Johnson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	94%	0.22	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	86%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	15	51%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	13	46%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.15	0.29	0.00	7	100%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.29,0.3	0.29	0.07	0.22	-0.00	13	76%	0.48	4	-0.18	8	87%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	57%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Daniel Santiago	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	7	88%	0.14	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	26.5	15.6	23.2	1.7	34.2	127.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +65.8%

MIL +0.8%

IND -1.1%

IND -15.4%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	17.2	15.7	15.7	109.1	116.1	100.5
season	16.7	15.3		101.1	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.3	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	16.4	16.3	19.4	17.2
MIL	17.3	15.5	15.0	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	47	49	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-11	17	17.0	17.4	-0.42	16.4	14.8	1.55
Scot Pollard	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	16.6	17.3	-0.74	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Fred Jones	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	24.0	17.1	6.86	11.0	15.7	-4.74
James Jones	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	18.3	17.1	1.16	17.3	15.5	1.74
Austin Croshere	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	20.1	16.9	3.20	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Reggie Miller	60	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.60	16	-21	37	16.6	18.5	-1.94	16.6	13.8	2.75
Anthony Johnson	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.57	12	-17	29	16.7	19.2	-2.52	16.5	12.6	3.95
Jamaal Tinsley	19	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.22	-18	13	-31	19.1	16.7	2.34	12.5	16.6	-4.05
Jermaine O'Neal	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-8	11	17.0	19.4	-2.37	15.8	14.7	1.06
Metta World Peace	75	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	2	-9	17.1	17.8	-0.74	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Al Harrington	64	62	-1.04	0.54	-1.59	-0.28	-26	21	-47	17.9	15.5	2.36	14.5	18.7	-4.20

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	52	53	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.40	20	-15	35	14.6	17.3	-2.72	17.8	16.4	1.35
Damon Jones	37	37	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-12	29	15.2	16.1	-0.87	18.4	16.4	2.01
Desmond Mason	44	44	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.34	18	-13	31	14.1	17.3	-3.28	18.0	16.5	1.52
Michael Redd	79	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	15.6	16.1	-0.48	17.3	16.0	1.34
Brian Skinner	31	30	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.29	23	-18	41	13.7	16.8	-3.13	18.0	16.8	1.19
Joe Smith	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	8	-11	16.2	14.4	1.87	17.1	17.6	-0.48
Dan Gadzuric	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	16.1	15.6	0.48	16.0	17.3	-1.34
T.J. Ford	50	51	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	17	-29	16.1	15.2	0.87	16.4	18.4	-2.01
Tim Thomas	51	52	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.03	-17	22	-39	17.2	13.6	3.55	16.4	18.4	-2.03
Daniel Santiago	21	22	-0.62	1.12	-1.74	0.14	-26	31	-57	19.6	14.4	5.18	15.7	17.7	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.19,0.44,0.73,1	91.1%
UTA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.1%
DEN 113, OKC 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.36,0.43,0.91,1	90.3%