NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	79		Excitement	3.7 [1053]		MVP	Kwame Brown (WAS): +7.0%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.5 [931]		LVP	Steve Blake (WAS): -10.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	74%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	15	47%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	73%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	70%	0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	17	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jamison Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.3	15.6	22.3	2.5	31.5	123.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +11.3%

IND +2.0%

IND +32.1%

IND +3.2%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	17.3	15.7	86.8	100.0	100.5
season	15.2	16.7		96.4	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		94.7	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	17.4	12.2	12.2	13.9
IND	16.6	20.5	16.6	16.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-12	10	12.9	14.4	-1.55	16.8	17.6	-0.81
Brendan Haywood	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-10	6	16.6	13.4	3.20	20.8	16.6	4.19
Mitchell Butler	27	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-11	8	12.9	14.4	-1.47	16.0	17.9	-1.95
Etan Thomas	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-9	4	14.7	13.5	1.19	16.5	17.7	-1.19
Brevin Knight	13	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-9	4	18.9	13.1	5.83	21.4	16.6	4.81
Steve Blake	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	13.5	14.4	-0.89	16.6	18.2	-1.61
Juan Dixon	48	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-9	4	13.2	14.8	-1.60	17.8	16.8	0.97
Christian Laettner	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-2	-10	13.7	14.2	-0.50	17.0	17.7	-0.74
Jarvis Hayes	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-9	4	14.1	13.6	0.58	17.6	16.9	0.64
Larry Hughes	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	13.8	14.3	-0.55	16.7	19.3	-2.53
Kwame Brown	64	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	13.8	14.2	-0.43	17.7	16.3	1.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	2	10	16.6	18.5	-1.90	14.9	12.4	2.51
Metta World Peace	85	85	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	0	14	17.3	18.1	-0.85	14.1	11.3	2.77
Reggie Miller	49	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	-3	20	16.7	18.1	-1.37	14.8	12.9	1.89
Jermaine O'Neal	56	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	17.7	16.9	0.80	14.8	12.7	2.06
Jeff Foster	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	5	4	17.1	17.5	-0.45	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Al Harrington	66	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	9	-4	17.5	17.0	0.43	13.6	14.7	-1.14
Austin Croshere	29	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	5	4	18.4	16.8	1.60	13.0	14.3	-1.38
Fred Jones	36	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	15	-16	18.0	16.9	1.07	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Jamison Brewer	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	12	-10	18.5	16.6	1.90	12.4	14.9	-2.51
Primoz Brezec	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	22	-30	13.7	17.7	-4.07	11.1	14.2	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 77, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DAL 79, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 102, LAL 132	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%