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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 83 Excitement5.4 [713] MVPCorey Maggette (LAC): +5.6%
Los Angeles Clippers 91 Comeback1.6 [887] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -24.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Rose-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.041860%0.042-0.05786%0.01
Robert Horry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00650%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Bruce Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.01367%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00337%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Jason Hart-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.030.031137%-0.111-0.02250%-0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.00-0.001227%-0.093-0.062100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.160,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.02-0.011435%-0.131-0.03933%-0.10
Tony Parker-0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.17-0.08-0.011536%-0.173-0.08944%-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.011463%0.0600.001080%0.01
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00944%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.03-0.051347%0.044-0.07650%-0.03
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02854%-0.002-0.04875%-0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.02663%0.013-0.08786%-0.00
Predrag Drobnjak0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.01629%-0.052-0.042100%0.01
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.01631%-0.0900.00475%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.001338%-0.034-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game592.31.531.1-705.228.11.842.2-8.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +22.2%
LAC +11.2%
LAC +17.6%
SAS -1.1%
LAC +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLACNBASASLACNBA
this game15.615.215.788.397.8100.5
season15.915.5100.1101.3
opponent15.415.8106.092.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS18.417.513.513.615.6
LAC16.715.217.012.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen4443-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-8815.415.8-0.4016.813.92.95
Malik Rose6263-0.11-0.390.27-0.296-142015.316.1-0.7415.514.60.87
Kevin Willis1212-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-5213.715.8-2.0912.715.6-2.94
Jason Hart1919-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-3-217.615.12.5115.015.3-0.28
Robert Horry2929-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-102-1217.714.63.0616.114.81.33
Tony Parker7574-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.23-3-5215.117.6-2.5115.315.00.28
Ron Mercer1616-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-124-1620.714.56.1615.515.20.33
Hedo Turkoglu5855-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.16-7-1-614.816.8-2.0013.118.3-5.22
Manu Ginobili7980-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.31-2-6415.018.5-3.5215.314.60.71
Rasho Nesterovic7674-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.25-4-4015.516.0-0.5315.514.01.54

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marko Jaric58580.63-0.130.770.1616-82413.518.1-4.6315.016.5-1.55
Bobby Simmons56570.62-0.120.730.1815-72214.516.3-1.7315.615.50.19
Chris Kaman65670.430.070.360.169-11014.217.6-3.3614.817.6-2.78
Corey Maggette79790.390.110.290.2844015.115.9-0.7414.620.8-6.22
Eddie House29300.320.180.130.0210-21215.615.00.5716.515.11.36
Quentin Richardson74750.280.220.060.2808-814.717.2-2.4915.516.0-0.53
Melvin Ely38370.020.48-0.470.13-412-1618.413.05.3617.414.43.06
Predrag Drobnjak2728-0.060.56-0.620.06-412-1617.014.52.4517.814.63.20
Doug Overton3939-0.130.63-0.750.05-614-2017.113.93.2315.815.40.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 96, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,194.9%
CHI 81, IND 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,194.9%
NJN 85, MIA 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,194.6%