NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	8.0 [239]		MVP	Mike James (BOS): +50.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	6.2 [346]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -20.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.51	0.20	0.29	-0.02	13	88%	0.54	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.11	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Kedrick Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2	-0.08	-0.15	-0.03	14	58%	-0.03	6	-0.17	8	37%	-0.21
Eric Williams	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	7	31%	-0.07	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	17	61%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	10	62%	0.24	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	10	57%	0.13	0	0.00	8	100%	0.08
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Marcus Haislip	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	14	61%	0.04	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	545.1	2.4	28.5	15.6	23.5	2.5	36.1	653.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -7.7%

MIL +38.1%

BOS -0.8%

MIL +17.1%

MIL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.7	101.1	108.7	100.5
season	14.4	15.3		99.5	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	17.5	15.7	15.8	16.0
MIL	13.0	15.2	17.8	14.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-9	12	17.5	15.3	2.19	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Eric Williams	45	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-18	30	16.1	16.0	0.15	14.1	16.0	-1.84
Tony Battie	32	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-3	0	16.9	15.6	1.33	15.2	15.1	0.10
Kedrick Brown	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.1	15.7	1.46	12.0	16.1	-4.07
Mark Blount	44	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-8	10	16.1	15.9	0.20	15.4	14.8	0.54
Raef LaFrentz	40	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	15.6	16.4	-0.76	15.8	14.6	1.15
Jiri Welsch	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	16.2	15.6	0.55	16.0	12.3	3.71
Vin Baker	46	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	11	-28	15.8	16.2	-0.36	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Mike James	61	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	15.3	17.5	-2.19	15.7	13.9	1.83
Paul Pierce	73	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.32	-13	7	-20	15.4	18.3	-2.89	15.7	12.9	2.74

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	47	50	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.52	7	-1	8	14.7	15.5	-0.81	16.4	15.6	0.75
Erick Strickland	47	49	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-3	12	15.2	15.0	0.23	16.3	15.7	0.62
Toni Kukoc	49	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	6	-6	14.3	16.0	-1.69	16.4	15.6	0.75
Joe Smith	65	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	-1	8	15.9	13.2	2.71	15.4	17.6	-2.20
Desmond Mason	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-1	8	14.8	15.8	-1.07	16.5	15.1	1.35
Daniel Santiago	28	27	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.18	12	-6	18	14.7	15.3	-0.55	16.8	15.7	1.10
Dan Gadzuric	40	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	9	-12	15.4	14.8	0.62	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Michael Redd	74	75	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	10	-14	15.3	14.2	1.09	15.5	18.4	-2.92
Marcus Haislip	2	1	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	10	-14	7.0	15.3	-8.28	22.0	16.0	6.03
T.J. Ford	45	43	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.20	-1	7	-8	15.5	14.7	0.81	15.6	16.4	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.59,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.99,1	91.0%
DET 84, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	90.8%
DEN 105, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.92,1	90.2%