NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.8 [437]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +23.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	9.8 [62]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -20.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.23	0.02	0.21	-0.01	14	52%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Michael Doleac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	61%	0.17	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.06
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	10	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	21	58%	0.17	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	23	50%	0.03	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	11	23%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	24.4	15.4	27.4	1.8	35.2	128.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.9%

NYK +20.5%

NYK +2.1%

MIN -1.5%

MIN -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	16.7	15.7	110.2	104.5	100.5
season	15.5	15.6		98.6	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.8		98.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	17.7	17.8	13.8	16.0
MIN	15.7	16.6	15.6	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-4	13	15.4	18.0	-2.66	16.5	17.5	-1.01
Kurt Thomas	46	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	4	-3	14.8	17.3	-2.51	16.6	16.8	-0.16
Charlie Ward	42	41	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-5	15	16.5	15.5	1.00	17.0	16.4	0.60
Dikembe Mutombo	70	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	3	-1	16.7	13.5	3.17	16.2	18.8	-2.68
Frank Williams	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-5	15	15.3	16.7	-1.41	18.8	15.0	3.84
Allan Houston	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	5	-5	16.2	14.6	1.58	16.3	20.1	-3.83
Michael Doleac	10	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	3	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.59	19.9	16.3	3.61
Othella Harrington	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	4	-3	16.1	16.0	0.11	17.5	16.5	1.05
Clar. Weatherspoon	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	2	1	17.4	15.3	2.14	16.9	16.6	0.30
Howard Eisley	39	39	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.01	-13	18	-31	16.2	15.9	0.33	15.2	17.9	-2.69

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	45	44	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.13	1	-6	7	17.3	16.1	1.24	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Keith McLeod	17	14	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.21	-2	-3	1	17.8	16.4	1.39	17.4	15.8	1.59
Ervin Johnson	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-5	5	16.2	17.0	-0.76	16.8	15.5	1.24
Quincy Lewis	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	13.7	17.1	-3.40	13.2	16.5	-3.21
Latrell Sprewell	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-7	9	16.6	17.2	-0.58	16.2	15.2	1.01
Kevin Garnett	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	16.5	18.3	-1.81	16.0	16.4	-0.47
Gary Trent	57	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	17.3	15.6	1.74	16.3	15.6	0.61
Sam Cassell	71	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.56	-3	-2	-1	16.4	17.8	-1.39	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Fred Hoiberg	56	58	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.46	-15	10	-25	16.9	16.4	0.47	15.9	16.3	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.67,0.55,0.29,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 123, DAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.02,0	92.1%
LAL 90, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.16,0	91.5%
POR 100, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.36,0.06,0.05,0	90.8%