NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	80		Excitement	4.0 [1019]		MVP	Francisco Elson (DEN): +8.4%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	1.1 [1068]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -17.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	20	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Jahidi White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	-0.09	12	40%	-0.02	6	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	-0.05	16	48%	-0.04	8	-0.14	10	80%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	80%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.02	-0.09	15	47%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	86%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	13	47%	-0.01	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	7	28%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	11	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	545.5	1.8	33.1	15.0	26.1	1.8	26.4	649.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +23.7%

DEN +4.2%

DEN +1.3%

DEN +17.4%

DEN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.7	84.2	115.8	100.5
season	14.6	14.9		99.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	14.7	15.3	12.8	14.1
DEN	16.4	16.6	15.3	16.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-27	24	11.2	14.3	-3.08	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Jahidi White	14	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-31	32	18.5	13.4	5.14	15.2	16.3	-1.09
Anfernee Hardaway	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-29	28	14.9	13.1	1.79	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Leandro Barbosa	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.24	-12	-18	6	12.9	14.7	-1.73	16.6	16.0	0.63
Tom Gugliotta	11	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-19	8	16.9	13.7	3.16	16.8	16.1	0.66
Zarko Cabarkapa	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-17	4	12.9	14.8	-1.89	16.3	16.1	0.17
Jake Voskuhl	28	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-18	6	14.9	13.8	1.15	17.8	15.4	2.43
Casey Jacobsen	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.35	-21	-9	-12	13.5	14.4	-0.85	18.3	15.2	3.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-14	-2	14.4	13.2	1.16	16.1	16.6	-0.57
Scott Williams	30	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	-11	-8	11.9	15.1	-3.19	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Joe Johnson	85	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.24	-23	-7	-16	14.2	13.7	0.46	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Stephon Marbury	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	-10	-10	14.1	14.3	-0.27	15.7	18.4	-2.69

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	7	16	17.8	14.0	3.78	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Carmelo Anthony	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	14	2	15.7	17.6	-1.85	14.3	13.6	0.75
Marcus Camby	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	18	-6	16.0	16.4	-0.39	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Jon Barry	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.27	19	11	8	15.6	16.8	-1.28	13.2	15.0	-1.83
Earl Boykins	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	11	8	14.7	18.1	-3.38	14.7	13.4	1.28
Voshon Lenard	62	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.22	16	14	2	17.2	14.4	2.81	14.2	13.9	0.32
Andre Miller	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	19	-8	18.1	14.7	3.38	13.4	14.7	-1.28
Rodney White	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.33	19	11	8	14.2	17.9	-3.63	14.2	14.1	0.09
Ryan Bowen	8	9	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	25	-20	16.0	16.2	-0.22	15.1	14.0	1.10
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	24	-18	22.0	15.5	6.48	13.6	14.2	-0.62
Chris Andersen	29	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.17	4	26	-22	14.6	16.9	-2.32	15.5	13.4	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 84, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 82, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAC 108, OKC 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%