inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 84 Excitement3.7 [1036] MVPHubert Davis (DAL): +11.1%
Dallas Mavericks 108 Comeback1.2 [1096] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -8.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.02871%0.0710.001100%0.00
Robert Pack0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01950%0.0100.002100%0.01
Mark Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.05375%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00945%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
George McCloud-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.051061%0.016-0.051164%-0.02
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01714%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Keon Clark-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.02550%-0.061-0.02837%-0.07
Nick Van Exel-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021431%-0.061-0.021100%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.010.05894%0.1100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.01-0.021267%0.111-0.011275%-0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.02986%0.133-0.054100%0.01
Loy Vaught0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.05862%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03375%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bill Curley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03329%0.0000.0010%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02433%-0.041-0.01450%-0.02
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.00-0.031935%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.624.215.529.42.525.3125.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +40.1%
DAL +3.3%
DEN -3.8%
DAL +8.5%
DAL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game16.115.915.593.3120.0100.9
season15.215.2101.4104.6
opponent15.315.2101.2104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.217.217.714.316.1
DAL14.216.314.419.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Strickland980.00-0.500.500.000-242410.316.7-6.3717.415.81.58
Terry Davis76-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-242418.715.82.8724.015.48.64
Tracy Murray2422-0.06-0.440.370.08-5-191415.216.4-1.2315.916.0-0.09
Raef LaFrentz3737-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-211815.716.3-0.6214.616.8-2.23
Robert Pack3837-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-171014.317.3-2.9815.116.5-1.45
Tariq Abdul-Wahad1919-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-15616.416.00.4515.316.1-0.78
Voshon Lenard3636-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-16817.315.22.1114.916.6-1.74
George McCloud3938-0.25-0.250.000.25-17-7-1016.515.70.8316.615.41.21
James Posey5557-0.25-0.25-0.000.07-11-13215.716.6-0.9215.915.9-0.01
Nick Van Exel5961-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-9-616.714.91.7716.914.02.85
Antonio McDyess6769-0.36-0.14-0.220.17-18-6-1216.315.40.9115.019.1-4.19
Keon Clark6060-0.550.05-0.600.24-273-3016.615.01.5516.914.12.80

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki64630.450.050.40-0.2825-12616.015.90.0716.814.32.58
Hubert Davis66660.440.060.39-0.262402415.118.3-3.2717.013.53.50
Michael Finley73720.430.070.35-0.162041616.712.54.2716.514.22.31
Steve Nash58560.410.090.320.001410415.017.6-2.6217.214.22.94
Shawn Bradley51500.300.200.100.04915-615.117.1-2.0216.116.00.08
Howard Eisley59600.220.28-0.06-0.131212016.714.52.1115.118.1-3.00
Christian Laettner24250.190.31-0.12-0.07915-614.716.4-1.6118.015.32.62
Loy Vaught33330.060.44-0.39-0.09519-1417.814.92.8814.716.9-2.21
Eduardo Najera890.000.50-0.500.00024-2417.415.81.5810.316.7-6.37
Bill Curley670.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2015.716.0-0.299.616.6-7.04
Courtney Alexander890.000.50-0.500.00024-2417.415.81.5810.316.7-6.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 80, DEN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
POR 82, SAS 1040.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
SAC 93, SEA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1,196.2%