NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	7.8 [261]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +18.4%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	2.5 [720]		LVP	Samaki Walker (MIA): -20.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.03	18	63%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.06
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.16	7	-0.24	8	100%	0.07
Udonis Haslem	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	20	45%	-0.12	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	9	27%	-0.17	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	13	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	80%	0.16	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.04
Scott Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.00	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	56%	0.10	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.08	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	543.1	2.4	33.3	15.4	27.2	0.3	30.8	652.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +74.6%

PHX +3.1%

MIA -8.2%

MIA -15.3%

MIA -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	13.8	15.7	105.4	107.5	100.5
season	16.2	14.6		99.3	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.9		103.6	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	18.2	16.9	18.0	17.1
PHX	13.9	12.3	15.1	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	0	-2	12.0	17.3	-5.30	7.0	14.1	-7.07
John Wallace	19	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	4	-10	16.2	17.4	-1.22	11.0	14.5	-3.47
Samaki Walker	48	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	3	-8	16.8	17.5	-0.74	14.1	13.6	0.58
Tyrone Hill	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	5	-12	20.6	16.8	3.82	12.4	14.0	-1.60
Brian Grant	50	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-8	14	17.0	17.3	-0.24	13.8	13.9	-0.16
Rafer Alston	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	8	-18	19.7	15.8	3.87	13.7	13.9	-0.15
Eddie Jones	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48	5	-7	12	16.8	19.2	-2.35	14.0	12.7	1.35
Lamar Odom	74	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	17.4	16.2	1.22	14.5	11.0	3.47
Udonis Haslem	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.51	4	-6	10	17.3	16.5	0.76	14.1	12.4	1.69
Dwyane Wade	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-3	4	16.4	20.1	-3.70	13.7	14.4	-0.73

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	76	77	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-8	18	13.7	14.5	-0.77	17.8	14.1	3.63
Jahidi White	22	22	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-6	14	13.3	14.0	-0.68	18.5	16.7	1.74
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	0	2	13.7	14.2	-0.44	17.7	15.4	2.31
Shawn Marion	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.56	-6	8	-14	14.1	12.9	1.21	16.7	18.5	-1.86
Stephon Marbury	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.50	-5	7	-12	14.0	13.4	0.59	17.2	16.8	0.43
Leandro Barbosa	19	19	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	-5	12	13.4	14.0	-0.59	16.8	17.2	-0.43
Scott Williams	44	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	7	-12	14.5	13.2	1.30	17.8	16.6	1.19
Zarko Cabarkapa	22	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.04	3	-1	4	13.6	13.9	-0.27	16.0	17.4	-1.40
Tom Gugliotta	2	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	20.0	13.7	6.30	8.5	17.3	-8.82
Jake Voskuhl	26	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	3	-4	12.7	14.3	-1.54	15.7	17.7	-2.06
Anfernee Hardaway	39	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.14	0	2	-2	13.9	13.8	0.06	16.3	17.8	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	92.9%
CHA 92, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	92.2%
ORL 85, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	92.2%