NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	7.0 [392]		MVP	Stromile Swift (VAN): +9.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	95		Comeback	2.1 [135]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -13.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	20	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	17	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Dale Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	10	46%	0.08	6	-0.21	4	25%	-0.05

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	9	59%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	53%	0.08	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	46%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	71%	0.09	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	14	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.1	15.4	28.3	1.7	30.2	131.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +17.1%

VAN +24.4%

VAN +6.6%

VAN +6.8%

POR -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	VAN	NBA	POR	VAN	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.5	97.7	111.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.6		103.9	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.4	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	19.3	15.7	16.4	16.3
VAN	20.4	15.9	15.0	17.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	53	52	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-17	24	14.0	19.9	-5.82	17.5	16.7	0.85
Dale Davis	43	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-8	6	16.1	16.5	-0.34	16.6	17.8	-1.22
Detlef Schrempf	16	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	17.7	16.0	1.76	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Scottie Pippen	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	15.6	19.9	-4.30	17.3	16.7	0.57
Steven Smith	54	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	16.5	16.0	0.45	16.5	18.1	-1.57
Shawn Kemp	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	17.7	15.2	2.53	18.2	16.4	1.85
Rasheed Wallace	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	16.0	17.7	-1.76	17.3	16.6	0.71
Rod Strickland	30	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	4	-18	19.4	14.7	4.77	16.3	17.7	-1.42
Bonzi Wells	58	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	1	-12	16.7	15.5	1.24	17.6	16.4	1.24

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	60	63	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.23	21	-11	32	16.8	18.1	-1.26	17.2	14.1	3.08
Mike Bibby	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-1	12	16.9	18.0	-1.05	16.3	16.4	-0.13
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	4	2	18.0	13.6	4.47	15.9	18.4	-2.52
Stromile Swift	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	3	4	17.6	16.7	0.97	16.0	16.7	-0.75
Ike Austin	36	37	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	18.3	16.4	1.94	16.6	16.1	0.49
Kevin Edwards	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	3	4	15.6	19.4	-3.81	15.4	17.5	-2.14
Tony Massenburg	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	5	0	16.6	17.9	-1.29	17.1	15.5	1.67
Grant Long	7	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	7	-4	18.1	17.1	1.04	20.2	15.9	4.34
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	23	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	11	-12	18.0	16.9	1.05	16.4	16.3	0.13
Erick Strickland	29	28	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.03	-13	23	-36	17.3	17.1	0.13	14.9	17.0	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%
CHA 92, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	93.1%
MIA 98, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.83,1	92.9%