inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Excitement9.6 [76] MVPJason Williams (MEM): +76.4%
Seattle SuperSonics 97 Comeback8.6 [70] LVPRashard Lewis (SEA): -25.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0.760,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.57,0.760.230.53-0.001878%0.7600.0000%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.01550%-0.0000.002100%0.02
Bo Outlaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.00558%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Stromile Swift-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Shane Battier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.07,0,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00761%0.153-0.204100%0.10
Pau Gasol-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01644%-0.031-0.03475%-0.01
Mike Miller-0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.05-0.001345%-0.061-0.02333%-0.04
Lorenzen Wright-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.120.00-0.14-0.021157%-0.111-0.01633%-0.05
Earl Watson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.0158%-0.101-0.03250%-0.02
Wesley Person-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.07-0.02819%-0.101-0.0400%0.00
James Posey-0.170,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.04-0.01625%-0.093-0.084100%0.02
Dahntay Jones-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.05-0.130.0030%-0.1700.0000%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ansu Sesay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.05-0.00667%0.1000.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.02953%0.0500.001100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.010.07-0.000.051861%0.072-0.062100%0.01
Antonio Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richie Frahm00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,0.13,-0.01-0.010.00-0.020.001762%0.084-0.09850%-0.04
Calvin Booth0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00946%-0.0400.00683%0.02
Jerome James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.00325%-0.051-0.0420%-0.03
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.080.00744%-0.073-0.082100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25-0.25-0.08-0.17-0.001137%-0.082-0.17250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game592.21.828.0-702.426.41.638.2-14.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +15.1%
MEM +1.6%
MEM +29.9%
MEM +2.1%
MEM +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSEANBAMEMSEANBA
this game14.716.415.7106.5104.3100.5
season15.315.6102.3105.0
opponent15.715.7105.9100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.715.415.014.914.7
SEA15.619.815.015.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw40420.80-0.301.090.4412-112314.714.8-0.1117.415.51.86
Dahntay Jones16170.77-0.271.040.567-61314.414.8-0.4414.216.9-2.71
Lorenzen Wright57600.72-0.220.940.3712-112314.115.8-1.7116.815.71.07
Shane Battier52550.72-0.220.930.459-81714.714.8-0.1516.715.90.74
Jason Williams70690.59-0.090.670.65-23-515.113.51.5715.519.0-3.52
Stromile Swift14130.020.48-0.45-0.0110116.014.51.4913.816.8-2.95
Earl Watson2224-0.090.59-0.67-0.173-2513.515.1-1.5719.015.53.52
Mike Miller4645-0.130.63-0.760.08-78-1515.513.91.6116.716.10.58
Wesley Person3031-0.140.64-0.78-0.1710113.715.2-1.5417.216.01.16
James Posey4038-0.220.72-0.930.02-89-1714.814.70.1515.916.7-0.74
Jake Tsakalidis2120-0.240.74-0.990.11-1213-2515.714.51.2016.916.20.65
Pau Gasol5251-0.300.80-1.090.03-1112-2314.814.70.1115.517.4-1.86

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ansu Sesay32330.13-0.630.760.16-10-117.016.10.9313.515.4-1.86
Reggie Evans30290.11-0.610.730.081-2321.613.97.6515.414.40.93
Luke Ridnour35330.06-0.560.620.12-21-318.814.93.8714.814.70.17
Richie Frahm110.05-0.550.59-0.012-358.016.5-8.482.014.9-12.88
Jerome James1616-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-1117.416.21.1914.914.70.16
Antonio Daniels22-0.08-0.420.35-0.132-353.016.7-13.680.015.1-15.07
Calvin Booth6262-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.370-1115.518.2-2.7115.014.20.75
Ronald Murray7677-0.530.03-0.56-0.623-4716.117.6-1.4715.013.21.84
Brent Barry7574-0.530.03-0.56-0.44-32-515.519.9-4.4114.416.2-1.84
Rashard Lewis7170-0.550.05-0.60-0.49-21-315.818.3-2.5314.714.9-0.22
Vladimir Radmanovic6563-0.780.28-1.05-0.63-54-915.518.4-2.9215.513.02.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 80, PHX 790.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.58,091.7%
ORL 76, IND 730.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.46,0.64,0.55,0.42,091.6%
DET 92, CHA 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.58,090.7%