inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement6.8 [436] MVPGary Payton (LAL): +5.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 94 Comeback2.0 [738] LVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): -17.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bob Sura-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00460%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.020.04-0.050.001766%0.084-0.1010100%0.06
Tayshaun Prince-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04-0.03-0.010.001136%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.02-0.00545%-0.031-0.021100%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01844%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.01633%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.110,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.001637%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.04-0.070.021040%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.08-0.00743%-0.024-0.1500%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.060.060.060.000.001375%0.174-0.112100%0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.01367%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.030.030.04-0.000.011162%0.081-0.054100%0.02
Jannero Pargo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02935%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.011153%0.014-0.10875%-0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.01828%-0.081-0.03250%-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.04-0.011747%-0.015-0.161164%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.731.417.426.22.438.6143.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +60.0%
DET -2.7%
LAL +8.8%
DET -12.8%
DET -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETLALNBADETLALNBA
this game15.315.715.794.7102.2100.5
season16.215.499.2102.8
opponent15.616.099.092.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.114.215.315.615.3
LAL15.914.615.317.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur4744-0.04-0.460.43-0.278-132113.317.3-3.9615.316.1-0.81
Ben Wallace7574-0.05-0.450.40-0.236-111715.315.10.2815.317.3-2.04
Tayshaun Prince7269-0.10-0.410.31-0.183-81114.717.2-2.5515.416.6-1.16
Lindsey Hunter2626-0.20-0.300.10-0.200-5514.815.5-0.6515.415.8-0.43
Tremaine Fowlkes1617-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-1-316.015.10.8716.915.41.46
Richard Hamilton5351-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-2-115.115.5-0.3316.315.01.25
Corliss Williamson1920-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-61-716.415.01.4316.015.60.45
Zeljko Rebraca1918-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-127-1917.214.82.4211.616.7-5.08
Elden Campbell2828-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.14-61-716.414.81.5419.813.95.88
Chauncey Billups7674-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.27-3-2-115.414.60.8215.217.6-2.31
Bob Sura3939-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.16-83-1116.314.61.7216.015.50.57

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant73740.53-0.030.570.1812-71915.616.1-0.5215.514.31.24
Shaquille O'Neal79800.51-0.010.520.278-31115.715.8-0.1815.812.53.26
Gary Payton74770.400.100.310.178-31115.018.5-3.4915.215.4-0.17
Horace Grant28280.350.150.200.2923-118.014.73.2617.114.52.61
Derek Fisher34330.290.210.090.2905-517.414.72.7216.014.91.16
Bryon Russell15160.170.33-0.160.1123-118.315.23.1515.615.20.34
Karl Malone75780.140.36-0.230.0823-115.118.3-3.1914.419.5-5.09
Devean George69720.090.41-0.330.11-16-714.619.0-4.3514.517.8-3.32
Kareem Rush10100.030.47-0.430.15-49-1320.615.15.5015.815.20.59
Jannero Pargo11-0.010.51-0.520.05-27-92.015.8-13.856.015.4-9.38
Luke Walton21-0.010.51-0.520.05-27-97.015.9-8.896.015.4-9.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 88, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.71,0.9,1,193.5%
GSW 105, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.97,1,193.0%
CHI 78, MIA 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.95,1,1,1,193.0%