NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	7.4 [363]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +39.7%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.8 [944]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (PHX): -12.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	6	85%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	7	61%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	22	48%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	21	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.06	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Rob Kurz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.04
CJ Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.18	0.21	-0.00	14	74%	0.40	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.20	0.13	0.00	17	73%	0.33	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	18	44%	0.05	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	19	49%	-0.01	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	11	40%	-0.01	3	-0.12	8	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.8	33.8	19.6	30.9	3.5	38.5	155.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.4%

GSW -10.1%

GSW -9.0%

PHX +24.4%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	13.2	15.5	98.1	110.6	106.4
season	13.8	14.1		107.3	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.4	12.5	14.7	13.8	14.1
PHX	11.7	11.9	14.1	15.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	49	46	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-13	16	13.1	14.8	-1.68	13.1	13.4	-0.30
CJ Watson	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.10	6	-16	22	13.7	14.2	-0.49	13.6	13.1	0.49
Jamal Crawford	90	88	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-11	12	13.8	15.5	-1.75	13.4	12.3	1.09
Anthony Morrow	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-6	2	15.3	14.0	1.35	10.2	13.4	-3.25
Rob Kurz	6	5	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-6	2	17.0	13.9	3.12	14.0	13.2	0.81
Ronny Turiaf	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-12	14	15.3	12.5	2.76	13.6	12.8	0.80
Kelenna Azubuike	35	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	7	-24	13.9	14.1	-0.21	12.4	13.7	-1.25
Stephen Jackson	97	94	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	1	-12	14.1	13.5	0.61	13.5	10.7	2.80
Monta Ellis	81	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	7	-24	14.2	13.5	0.68	12.9	14.1	-1.24
Corey Maggette	86	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	-1	-8	13.7	15.6	-1.94	13.3	12.9	0.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	54	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	13.2	13.3	-0.06	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Jason Richardson	82	84	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-2	14	13.4	12.6	0.81	14.3	13.3	1.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	89	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	13.3	13.1	0.20	14.1	14.0	0.07
Steve Nash	88	90	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	0	10	13.2	13.4	-0.24	14.3	12.8	1.54
Grant Hill	74	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	0	10	13.7	12.2	1.50	14.4	13.1	1.31
Lou Amundson	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	-3	16	11.5	14.3	-2.85	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Leandro Barbosa	38	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	12	-14	12.9	13.4	-0.45	13.0	14.7	-1.61
Shaquille O'Neal	56	60	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	23	-36	13.9	12.5	1.43	14.1	14.0	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.71,0.9,1,1	93.4%
DET 89, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	93.0%
DET 79, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.62,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.94,1,1	91.9%