NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	79		Excitement	4.2 [976]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +8.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	94		Comeback	1.6 [910]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -17.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Mengke Bateer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-0.08	9	11%	-0.09	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	0.03	22	43%	-0.11	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	11	59%	0.05	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	15	33%	-0.13
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.02	16	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	12	49%	-0.05	3	-0.06	11	64%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	34.2	16.5	26.3	2.4	33.6	140.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +17.8%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +16.6%

LAL +11.1%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.0	13.5	15.7	83.2	100.0	100.5
season	16.8	15.4		94.8	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.1	17.8	16.9	16.0	17.0
LAL	14.2	11.5	13.7	14.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mengke Bateer	21	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-11	7	16.7	17.0	-0.31	13.7	13.4	0.32
Alvin Williams	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-13	11	17.0	17.0	-0.00	12.1	13.9	-1.84
Jerome Moiso	2	1	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-11	7	11.0	17.1	-6.09	31.0	13.3	17.69
Michael Curry	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-11	7	16.8	17.0	-0.25	14.5	12.9	1.67
Morris Peterson	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-11	7	16.3	17.5	-1.11	13.5	13.5	0.06
Jerome Williams	40	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-6	-3	16.9	17.0	-0.10	13.3	13.6	-0.33
Lamond Murray	39	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-9	3	16.9	17.0	-0.06	12.9	13.9	-0.91
Antonio Davis	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-9	3	17.8	16.1	1.65	12.5	14.6	-2.15
Chris Bosh	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-9	3	17.0	16.9	0.10	13.6	13.3	0.33
Milt Palacio	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-2	-11	17.0	17.0	0.00	13.9	12.1	1.84
Vince Carter	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	1	-17	17.4	15.5	1.96	13.2	14.3	-1.07

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	75	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-3	21	13.3	14.5	-1.22	17.3	15.4	1.88
Gary Payton	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-3	21	13.1	14.8	-1.70	17.4	15.4	2.01
Derek Fisher	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	0	15	13.1	14.0	-0.88	17.0	16.9	0.05
Horace Grant	30	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	7	1	12.6	13.9	-1.27	18.0	16.5	1.50
Karl Malone	65	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	6	3	13.2	14.2	-1.02	16.7	17.4	-0.64
Bryon Russell	28	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	9	-3	13.0	13.7	-0.66	17.6	16.7	0.89
Devean George	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	9	-3	14.2	13.0	1.22	16.9	17.0	-0.14
Kobe Bryant	75	73	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	14	-13	13.7	12.8	0.82	16.5	18.5	-2.01
Kareem Rush	19	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	14	-13	13.9	13.4	0.56	15.4	17.3	-1.94
Luke Walton	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	20	-25	18.2	12.7	5.54	14.4	17.4	-3.05
Jannero Pargo	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	20.0	13.4	6.64	18.5	16.9	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 80, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIN 98, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%