inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 80 Excitement3.3 [1165] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +17.5%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback1.5 [888] LVPGary Neal (SAS): -8.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.01-0.02862%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.030,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.021649%0.051-0.02540%-0.00
Tim Duncan0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001154%0.021-0.00450%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03325%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tiago Splitter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.02950%0.033-0.07667%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00736%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
George Hill-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02617%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Gary Neal-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021329%-0.061-0.022100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.160.040.021671%0.182-0.0110100%0.04
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.00-0.014110%0.122-0.02250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.022355%0.103-0.067100%0.03
Erick Dampier0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.05333%0.0210.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02367%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.03367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.031949%0.032-0.045100%0.02
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.03.032.317.730.03.630.4141.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +24.0%
MIA +17.9%
MIA +5.4%
MIA +3.9%
SAS -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game15.515.315.587.0115.8105.7
season15.516.0109.3109.0
opponent15.615.2102.3103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.217.214.913.015.5
MIA14.113.516.417.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Anderson9110.00-0.500.500.12-4-262210.316.1-5.7820.114.65.46
Tiago Splitter780.00-0.500.500.18-6-24189.716.0-6.3117.515.12.44
Steve Novak1315-0.01-0.490.480.14-5-252012.216.1-3.9518.414.73.72
Tim Duncan5657-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-262216.314.41.8516.812.93.90
Matt Bonner1315-0.20-0.300.100.07-9-211217.615.22.4113.515.6-2.05
Tony Parker6162-0.21-0.290.070.20-14-16216.314.12.1315.914.01.89
Antonio McDyess5655-0.25-0.25-0.010.19-15-15016.514.12.3514.716.0-1.32
Richard Jefferson5554-0.26-0.24-0.010.01-9-211216.314.41.8615.415.00.38
Gary Neal3741-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-19814.116.5-2.3615.615.00.52
Manu Ginobili6263-0.32-0.18-0.140.29-21-9-1214.817.1-2.2614.616.6-2.01
DeJuan Blair3435-0.34-0.16-0.180.30-22-8-1414.915.9-1.1012.416.9-4.49
George Hill5759-0.49-0.01-0.470.39-300-3016.414.12.2614.117.2-3.15

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh71700.470.030.45-0.413003015.415.00.3515.416.1-0.72
Dwyane Wade78760.470.030.44-0.322732414.618.4-3.8315.615.10.58
LeBron James80800.340.160.19-0.302281415.712.82.9315.714.21.49
Mario Chalmers59570.240.26-0.01-0.402281415.914.21.6315.216.0-0.78
Mike Miller43390.220.28-0.05-0.04921-1215.714.90.8414.616.2-1.66
Mike Bibby19190.220.28-0.06-0.01822-1412.316.0-3.6818.414.83.63
Joel Anthony26240.210.29-0.08-0.111119-815.015.4-0.4216.615.21.46
Jamaal Magloire40390.200.30-0.11-0.301713415.315.30.0214.216.5-2.37
Erick Dampier29290.100.40-0.310.04228-2615.515.20.3716.515.11.37
Juwan Howard24220.030.47-0.450.03030-3015.015.4-0.3516.115.40.72
James Jones650.000.50-0.50-0.06228-2618.015.12.9210.815.8-5.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 69, POR 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
DET 83, PHI 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.1%
PHX 102, WAS 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.0%