NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	8.5 [147]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +26.4%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	2.1 [683]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -32.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.15,0.07,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.15	-0.05	15	71%	0.41	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	12	63%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	52%	-0.03	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	13	28%	-0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	13	36%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.32	-0.18	-0.19	-0.04	20	33%	-0.11	4	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.22	-0.00	11	50%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	18	55%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	16	37%	-0.08	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	41%	-0.05	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	28.3	22.3	24.3	2.4	39.8	145.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +20.0%

CHI +10.0%

ATL -0.4%

CHI +17.6%

CHI +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.7	95.9	99.0	100.5
season	15.3	15.2		98.2	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	14.0	15.0	14.9	14.5
CHI	14.1	15.3	14.4	13.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-6	6	16.1	13.9	2.22	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Nazr Mohammed	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-9	12	15.2	13.9	1.33	14.8	14.0	0.79
Lee Nailon	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-5	4	15.9	14.2	1.71	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Boris Diaw	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	15.2	14.1	1.20	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	59	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-3	0	14.6	14.4	0.22	14.7	14.0	0.67
Theo Ratliff	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	3	-12	13.8	16.0	-2.12	14.6	13.9	0.73
Jason Terry	69	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	1	-8	13.9	16.1	-2.22	14.3	14.8	-0.49
Dion Glover	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	1	-8	14.4	15.1	-0.71	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Stephen Jackson	82	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	0	-6	14.1	16.9	-2.79	14.2	15.5	-1.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	79	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-7	20	13.6	17.3	-3.72	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Jalen Rose	82	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-2	10	14.5	14.2	0.31	14.0	16.8	-2.74
Scottie Pippen	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	6	-6	14.2	14.7	-0.49	15.6	13.2	2.38
Eddy Curry	62	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-3	12	15.0	13.4	1.62	14.6	14.5	0.07
Tyson Chandler	72	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	1	4	13.8	15.8	-1.99	13.8	16.3	-2.46
Corie Blount	25	26	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	9	-12	15.0	14.2	0.84	15.8	14.1	1.72
Donyell Marshall	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	8	-10	15.1	14.1	1.01	15.4	14.1	1.33
Jamal Crawford	59	55	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	2	2	13.8	15.2	-1.34	13.0	16.5	-3.55
Marcus Fizer	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	4	-2	14.4	14.4	-0.03	15.7	14.5	1.26
Eddie Robinson	31	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	12	-18	16.6	13.4	3.23	16.3	13.7	2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.32,0.64,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.52,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.54,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	91.4%
SAS 91, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.9,0.93,1,1	90.9%
PHX 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.86,0.96,1	90.8%