NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	8.3 [179]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +22.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.9 [715]		LVP	Craig Smith (MIN): -17.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Chris Richard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rashad McCants	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06
Marko Jaric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.06
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	0.02	-0.15	0.00	20	49%	-0.05	1	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Craig Smith	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	9	36%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.16	0.01	8	75%	0.31	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Willie Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	13	60%	0.18	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.22	2	-0.17	9	78%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	26.3	15.6	32.5	2.4	33.6	136.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.9%

PHI +21.6%

PHI +0.9%

MIN -11.9%

PHI +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	14.6	15.4	104.4	105.4	105.7
season	15.9	15.2		102.2	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.0		104.2	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.6	17.8	16.2	18.2	16.9
PHI	13.8	15.0	13.8	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Richard	30	33	0.55	-1.05	1.59	0.08	16	-20	36	15.1	17.8	-2.73	15.6	14.1	1.48
Antoine Walker	34	36	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.21	11	-15	26	17.1	16.7	0.37	16.1	13.7	2.47
Ryan Gomes	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-13	22	17.0	16.8	0.26	15.0	14.3	0.69
Marko Jaric	58	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-4	4	15.2	19.9	-4.63	14.0	16.0	-2.02
Corey Brewer	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	9	-22	16.8	17.0	-0.26	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Rashad McCants	65	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-4	4	16.9	17.0	-0.10	14.8	14.2	0.58
Craig Smith	54	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	10	-24	17.1	16.6	0.46	14.1	15.3	-1.28
Sebastian Telfair	59	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	5	-14	18.2	14.3	3.91	14.9	14.1	0.78
Al Jefferson	60	60	-1.05	0.55	-1.59	-0.46	-20	16	-36	17.8	15.1	2.73	14.1	15.6	-1.48

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	79	76	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.49	17	-13	30	14.0	18.1	-4.14	16.8	17.4	-0.55
Andre Miller	65	65	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.38	19	-15	34	14.5	14.9	-0.44	17.6	15.2	2.39
Willie Green	66	62	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-10	24	14.7	14.6	0.10	17.1	16.3	0.82
Samuel Dalembert	75	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	15.0	13.2	1.81	16.9	16.7	0.28
Reggie Evans	47	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-6	16	14.5	14.7	-0.19	17.0	16.8	0.19
Kyle Korver	44	42	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.38	-11	15	-26	14.8	14.4	0.41	16.9	16.9	0.07
Jason Smith	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.91	15.6	17.4	-1.78
Calvin Booth	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	13.6	14.7	-1.08	10.2	17.2	-6.95
Thaddeus Young	24	23	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.09	-12	16	-28	15.5	14.3	1.24	17.1	16.8	0.32
Lou Williams	35	33	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.01	-18	22	-40	15.3	14.2	1.11	16.6	17.1	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.52,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.54,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.74,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	92.0%
MIN 89, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	91.6%
ATL 94, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.32,0.64,0.78,0.92,1	91.4%