NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	11.9 [20]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +29.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	15.9 [134]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -25.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Langhi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.03	0.02	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	30	57%	0.13	6	-0.15	10	100%	0.14
Scott Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	9	27%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Shawn Marion	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	22	39%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.03	-0.18	0.01	13	54%	-0.11	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0.00	14	52%	-0.19	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	0.00	7	94%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.15	-0.02	5	80%	0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.02	16	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	12	71%	0.16	6	-0.19	7	86%	0.04
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.3,-0.23,-0.26,-0.32,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	0.03	0.02	25	47%	0.09	7	-0.22	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	33.1	17.8	26.4	3.0	33.1	1.8	15.0	156.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +133.2%

LAL +0.8%

PHX -67.8%

PHX -15.5%

PHX -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.5	103.7	107.5	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		101.1	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		102.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	12.2	15.3	14.6	15.0	15.9	14.4
LAL	15.5	13.5	16.1	15.0	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	2	1	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-2	2	7.5	14.5	-7.01	4.0	15.2	-11.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-11	20	14.5	14.2	0.39	15.5	14.4	1.04
Anfernee Hardaway	85	85	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-6	10	14.1	15.4	-1.32	14.5	17.1	-2.55
Jake Voskuhl	5	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	15.6	14.3	1.27	17.8	14.9	2.93
Scott Williams	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	4	-10	13.6	14.5	-0.93	15.1	15.1	0.09
Jake Tsakalidis	78	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-7	12	14.4	14.5	-0.09	14.8	15.7	-0.84
Dan Langhi	4	3	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	1	-4	9.0	14.6	-5.59	5.3	15.3	-10.01
Stephon Marbury	97	96	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	14.9	10.3	4.55	15.3	12.6	2.71
Bo Outlaw	29	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	7	-16	14.9	14.2	0.70	16.5	14.6	1.89
Joe Johnson	67	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	6	-14	14.7	13.9	0.78	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Shawn Marion	100	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.1	17.3	-3.21	15.3	11.6	3.72

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	45	47	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.69	9	-7	16	14.9	15.2	-0.30	14.7	14.1	0.56
Kobe Bryant	98	98	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	-1	4	15.4	10.9	4.56	14.3	14.9	-0.58
Brian Shaw	12	12	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	0	2	11.1	15.6	-4.49	15.8	14.2	1.63
Derek Fisher	81	82	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	-3	8	15.3	14.4	0.85	13.7	16.4	-2.64
Shaquille O'Neal	92	94	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	1	0	14.8	16.9	-2.17	14.1	16.2	-2.10
Kareem Rush	49	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	-2	6	13.9	16.0	-2.08	15.5	13.4	2.11
Devean George	58	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-4	10	14.5	15.8	-1.31	14.7	13.9	0.79
Mark Madsen	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	14.7	15.1	-0.45	14.5	14.4	0.13
Samaki Walker	36	35	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	9	-16	16.4	14.4	2.04	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Rick Fox	38	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.07	-9	11	-20	16.2	14.4	1.82	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Jannero Pargo	14	15	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	7	-12	17.3	14.7	2.55	16.8	14.0	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.85,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 71, CHA 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	88.8%
HOU 107, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.42,1	88.6%
NYK 98, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.9,0.84,1	87.6%