NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	7.8 [278]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +43.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.6 [812]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -20.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,-0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	81%	0.28	4	-0.21	6	100%	0.06
Melvin Ely	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	3	33%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	13	32%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	5	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	13	43%	-0.09	3	-0.11	9	78%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.11	0.32	-0.00	15	69%	0.45	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.02	0.19	-0.02	17	54%	0.26	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.02	15	70%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	4	45%	-0.04	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	11	47%	-0.14	3	-0.06	10	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	42.2	2.6	26.0	14.8	32.1	1.6	34.3	153.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +62.5%

LAC -2.6%

LAC -32.0%

SEA +24.9%

LAC -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.5	100.0	106.3	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		100.2	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	15.5	12.0	16.5	14.8
SEA	14.4	18.0	14.6	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	49	51	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-18	28	15.5	13.9	1.58	16.6	15.0	1.52
Keyon Dooling	24	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-10	12	15.7	14.4	1.22	17.0	15.5	1.50
Eric Piatkowski	61	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-16	24	15.3	13.8	1.50	16.7	14.4	2.21
Marko Jaric	26	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-7	6	16.0	14.3	1.72	18.5	15.0	3.58
Elton Brand	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-8	8	14.5	16.1	-1.64	15.4	17.8	-2.32
Chris Wilcox	16	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	16.1	14.5	1.64	17.8	15.4	2.32
Lamar Odom	67	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	14.3	16.0	-1.72	15.0	18.5	-3.58
Corey Maggette	32	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	8	-24	13.8	15.3	-1.50	14.4	16.7	-2.21
Andre Miller	69	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	2	-12	14.4	15.7	-1.22	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Sean Rooks	44	44	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.19	-18	10	-28	13.9	15.5	-1.58	15.0	16.6	-1.52

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	75	74	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.23	18	-10	28	15.3	17.9	-2.58	15.2	13.2	1.95
Predrag Drobnjak	68	69	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-4	16	15.3	17.2	-1.85	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Brent Barry	76	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	0	8	15.4	17.5	-2.08	14.8	14.5	0.32
Ray Allen	92	90	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	15.7	21.0	-5.30	14.9	11.7	3.20
Reggie Evans	63	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	16.1	15.4	0.64	14.0	16.3	-2.36
Calvin Booth	8	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	9	-10	22.6	15.2	7.38	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	10	-12	16.2	15.7	0.53	15.7	14.3	1.36
Kevin Ollie	40	38	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	14	-20	16.7	15.3	1.45	15.3	14.4	0.84
Jerome James	20	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.12	-5	13	-18	16.4	15.7	0.68	14.7	14.8	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.71,0.6,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.7,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.83,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.71,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.74,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.96,1	90.7%
NYK 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.9,1	90.5%
NOP 97, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.92,1	90.5%