NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	3.5 [1074]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): +7.2%
New Orleans Hornets	106		Comeback	2.2 [608]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -4.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	15	45%	0.03	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.08	15	59%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	3	87%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	19	52%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	17	57%	0.09	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	11	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	58%	0.10	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	13	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.3	2.5	27.2	15.8	30.9	2.7	41.2	139.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +48.2%

NJN -8.1%

NOH +17.6%

NJN -6.7%

NJN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOH	NBA	NJN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.5	107.8	117.8	101.6
season	15.0	15.9		101.1	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.6	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.2	16.3	17.2	10.4	15.0
NOH	20.7	15.0	17.0	15.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-11	13	15.7	14.8	0.92	19.6	16.3	3.31
Dikembe Mutombo	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-10	11	13.9	15.5	-1.66	17.9	16.6	1.29
Aaron Williams	5	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	22.0	14.6	7.38	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Brian Scalabrine	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-5	1	17.2	13.4	3.79	15.8	17.9	-2.09
Richard Jefferson	81	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	14.9	16.7	-1.81	17.6	11.8	5.81
Jason Collins	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.4	14.5	0.84	17.7	15.9	1.83
Jason Kidd	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	14.6	23.5	-8.86	17.0	16.2	0.81
Rodney Rogers	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	3	-15	13.6	18.4	-4.77	15.9	19.4	-3.49
Kerry Kittles	74	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	5	-19	15.3	13.8	1.48	16.3	20.8	-4.52

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.16	24	-15	39	17.2	16.7	0.48	18.2	10.9	7.25
Jamal Mashburn	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	2	5	17.0	16.7	0.32	14.7	19.7	-4.96
Robert Pack	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	9	-9	15.6	19.5	-3.93	12.9	18.8	-5.93
P.J. Brown	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	0	9	19.1	13.8	5.22	17.1	11.9	5.29
Jamaal Magloire	64	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	16.7	17.6	-0.86	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Robert Traylor	26	27	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	6	-3	17.6	16.7	0.86	15.1	15.0	0.11
George Lynch	62	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	7	-5	17.3	16.1	1.20	15.1	14.9	0.25
Jerome Moiso	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	6	-3	16.2	17.2	-0.98	13.7	15.6	-1.87
Stacey Augmon	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	9.0	18.2	-9.19	7.7	16.1	-8.32
Courtney Alexander	15	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	15	-21	20.0	16.4	3.64	14.2	15.2	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 78, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHI 72, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%