NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	74		Excitement	3.8 [1024]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +3.0%
Chicago Bulls	82		Comeback	1.1 [1108]		LVP	Vladimir Stepania (MIA): -13.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Lampley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	83%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	12	23%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	7	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	16	53%	0.11	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	59%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	33.4	15.7	29.0	1.8	28.4	134.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +54.4%

MIA -7.9%

CHI +5.0%

MIA -4.4%

CHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHI	NBA	MIA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.5	77.9	88.2	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		94.6	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.3	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.0	13.6	17.2	14.2	15.2
CHI	13.5	14.7	16.2	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	25	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	15.2	15.2	0.03	16.6	15.1	1.51
Rasual Butler	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	16.2	14.6	1.60	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Anthony Carter	58	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	14.2	16.7	-2.54	15.8	14.9	0.89
Brian Grant	66	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	14.0	17.8	-3.71	15.8	14.7	1.12
Eddie House	48	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.28	2	-10	12	13.5	16.9	-3.39	17.3	13.6	3.75
Sean Lampley	47	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.9	15.5	-0.61	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Travis Best	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	16.7	14.2	2.54	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Malik Allen	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	1	-10	15.7	14.7	0.98	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Vladimir Stepania	36	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	3	-14	17.8	13.6	4.23	13.9	16.3	-2.41
Caron Butler	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.4	14.3	1.05	15.3	16.1	-0.81

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	55	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-5	18	14.5	16.8	-2.24	15.5	14.6	0.91
Jalen Rose	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	1	6	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Eddy Curry	61	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-4	16	15.2	15.9	-0.72	14.8	15.9	-1.14
Jamal Crawford	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	15.3	15.8	-0.43	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Trenton Hassell	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	3	2	14.9	15.9	-0.97	16.8	13.9	2.90
Eddie Robinson	59	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	4	0	15.1	16.1	-0.94	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Donyell Marshall	52	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	16	-24	16.7	13.9	2.88	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Jay Williams	29	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	7	-6	15.8	15.3	0.43	15.7	14.9	0.86
Corie Blount	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.4	15.5	-0.02	17.2	14.7	2.52
Rick Brunson	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	17.7	15.1	2.63	16.4	15.0	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAL 83, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 94, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%